TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes65c50,000$32,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,493.9631643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No35c34,082$11,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,153.317572%54 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No35c10,726$3,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,961.882,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c5,160$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.611,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes62c5,073$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.563928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c3,996$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.238,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes4c3,863$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.622733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No38c3,270$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.416363.5%40 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9509454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No62c1,771$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.5733251.8%172 W · 160 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes65c1,310$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.344240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c1,276$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.445,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes37c1,219$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.564531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No35c968.91$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.792857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes65c818.34$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6781651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes46c800$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3669854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No34c711.67$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.926659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c639$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No54c629.88$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4763644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed Yes65c616.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c584$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.8723435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Yes34c581.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes29c569.94$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9711738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No36c554.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c552.2$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.321,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32514422.9%33 W · 111 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No78c465.57$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.554273.8%31 W · 11 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes23c437.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.45721.1%12 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes11c391.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Yes12c359.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes35c331.43$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…81ebbacked Yes63c316.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1986…cf16backed No67c297.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No35c297.6$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4481740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked No37c291.56$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.683221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes10c260.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No37c245.03$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.373240.6%13 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No35c200.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3916234.6%56 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No36c191.53$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0411549.6%57 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c165.07$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.531,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Yes9c161$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b1…fe65backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No35c155$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7518742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No35c150.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1531226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.582263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes9c131.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.293234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes63c126.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8051654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No34c110.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.268046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes29c109.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Yes64c108$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.122138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.262568%17 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No35c104.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.365653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes65c101.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No36c99.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.994100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+189.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes64c88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.326944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No69c86.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9627133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yes64c85.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No39c83.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.783268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed No35c80.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.921250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked No58c71.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.22445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No68c68.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2349449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked No37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No65c48.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.891573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes64c47.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6244…d154backed Yes66c43.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes67c43.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes66c42.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8f…3186backed Yes67c41.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick64cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd06a…5ae7backed Yes66c40.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb81…9134backed Yes64c40.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes66c40.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d6…b1b3backed Yes63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb4…1233backed No37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb080…8ab6backed Yes65c39.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Yes66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bb…0df6backed Yes66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2664…53f8backed Yes66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dea…26d5backed Yes67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b0e…6576backed Yes63c33.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes62c33.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8815158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfebc…fd87backed Yes63c33.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed81…de98backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.817950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb91…f766backed Yes67c29.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-3.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439f…bdedbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes50c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4612045.8%55 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbea…57b8backed Yes65c25.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.