TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc99c…5c6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST13756.9%78 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+36.8%+$60.27
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+50.5%+$57.45
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+36.5%+$49.86
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+52.8%+$42.26
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$45.36
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$79.06
Kings vs. Heatbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+295.3%+$88.59
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+30.7%+$24.58
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+43.3%+$8.65
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+195.2%+$52.9
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$249.5
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $73-82m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$530.02
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+40.6%+$338.17
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $30-35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$103.67
Will 'Moana 2' gross less than $135m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$603.03
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $165-180m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$44
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $150-165m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$398.42
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $135-150m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$183.6
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$85.06
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Cambodia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Taiwan before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Korea before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$440.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.33
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$18.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$75.72
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+89.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.3wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$73.14
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$321.73
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.