Movies · resolved market
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $30-35m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd9d39a810ff12ef6612991558234cb8050878a5eb8740386de6f89118f86acd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 22c | 22,081$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.99 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 6c | 18,233$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.51 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 17c | 17,401$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.13 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes | 14c | 15,993$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.65 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 20c | 15,829$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.71 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 75c | 14,288$10,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.8 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 15c | 10,457$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.04 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 27c | 9,187$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.88 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 23c | 8,631$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.72 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5115…b61dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,535$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 6,991$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.64 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes | 16c | 6,834$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.53 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Yes | 23c | 6,718$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.4 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 8c | 6,074$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.99 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…c5c7backed Yes | 1c | 4,375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 27c | 3,610$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.23 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…939cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,482$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,338$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.11 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…5871backed Yes | 5c | 3,288$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.22 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 30c | 3,218$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.23 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…0693backed Yes | 3c | 3,098$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 19c | 2,613$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.15 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 18c | 2,590$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.78 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 17c | 2,558$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 13c | 2,500$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,482$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…98aebacked Yes | 22c | 2,464$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.08 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…02eabacked Yes | 7c | 2,244$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 19c | 2,184$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.28 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 25c | 2,103$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.01 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…2acbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,060$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 22c | 2,012$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.7 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 14c | 1,945$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.34 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 16c | 1,933$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Yes | 7c | 1,750$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 26c | 1,476$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 19c | 1,407$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 27c | 1,359$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.3 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 20c | 1,101$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,091$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 11c | 1,054$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 28c | 1,006$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.83 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 24c | 992.23$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.92 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 21c | 943.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 15c | 852.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…bd36backed Yes | 25c | 850$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Yes | 12c | 812.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…464cbacked Yes | 17c | 800$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd24…0416backed Yes | 10c | 767.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 31c | 750$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…baefbacked Yes | 23c | 691.81$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…d43bbacked Yes | 16c | 690$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 20c | 667.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 74c | 605.27$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…025bbacked Yes | 10c | 585.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 29c | 564$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ca…eab7backed Yes | 22c | 464.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…17b2backed Yes | 28c | 441.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 15c | 383$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…9f3cbacked Yes | 31c | 382.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 77c | 370.58$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 294.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 9c | 280$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 35c | 275$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ec…0dbabacked Yes | 12c | 226.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 19c | 225$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb044…0ebcbacked Yes | 27c | 208.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 25c | 203.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6661…277dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…e6b4backed Yes | 22c | 183.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…3b37backed Yes | 27c | 173.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…103ebacked Yes | 16c | 163$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 17c | 144$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…c7aebacked Yes | 35c | 137.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 26c | 136.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 134.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…af8dbacked Yes | 22c | 126$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…bf30backed Yes | 28c | 117.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0764backed Yes | 13c | 112.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…fb6bbacked Yes | 28c | 112.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5e…6a2fbacked Yes | 13c | 106.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Yes | 21c | 102.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Yes | 14c | 89.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Yes | 29c | 86.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a08…4471backed Yes | 34c | 80.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes | 17c | 80.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 78.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…e3a4backed No | 69c | 71.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…4068backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb206…4f9bbacked No | 68c | 66.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe33…bd18backed Yes | 33c | 66.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…d3dbbacked No | 71c | 65.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…8887backed No | 75c | 65.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164a…a6e6backed No | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…464ebacked No | 75c | 61.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b3ddbacked Yes | 24c | 60.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $30-35m?this page
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $25-30m?No won
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?Yes won
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $25m?No won
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.