Movies · resolved market
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf29d3eaa1003b058d5d1585cd30ac4f063dd9a84ff38c567e23be202dd38e1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 20c | 24,200$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.43 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 13c | 17,962$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.91 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 9c | 16,684$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.15 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 0c | 15,210$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 17c | 14,159$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.3 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 17c | 13,529$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 3c | 12,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 12c | 9,286$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.53 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 17c | 9,058$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.52 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…0693backed Yes | 1c | 8,812$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Yes | 17c | 8,793$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 30c | 7,714$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.07 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…c521backed No | 80c | 6,977$5,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.34 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 26c | 5,777$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…5871backed Yes | 3c | 5,533$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 74c | 5,222$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.7 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 11c | 4,981$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.74 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 22c | 4,886$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.2 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 12c | 4,504$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 26c | 3,625$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.33 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d96…78afbacked Yes | 0c | 3,602$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 9c | 3,241$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.04 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…466fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,852$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 12c | 2,644$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.41 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 24c | 2,255$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.31 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 7c | 2,222$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…d43bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,039$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 20c | 1,950$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…9c10backed Yes | 26c | 1,925$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 77c | 1,872$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.2 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 20c | 1,482$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 21c | 1,458$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.67 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Yes | 3c | 1,399$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd24…0416backed Yes | 1c | 1,350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 10c | 1,200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,129$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.74 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 29c | 1,059$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.69 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 20c | 1,050$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 15c | 901.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 20c | 878.13$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 21c | 835.64$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…3dffbacked Yes | 27c | 788$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 23c | 696.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…e44bbacked No | 73c | 594.94$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…98aebacked Yes | 35c | 590.26$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.59 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 79c | 551.94$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473b…6efbbacked Yes | 15c | 531.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 75c | 483.28$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 27c | 420.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…e6b4backed Yes | 4c | 376.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 21c | 369.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 335.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 29c | 320.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 22c | 318.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 19c | 317.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 296.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…5ffcbacked No | 69c | 288.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed Yes | 28c | 284.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…025bbacked No | 67c | 282.28$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 240.34$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 23c | 176.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 69c | 172.47$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 23c | 172$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…bd36backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Yes | 13c | 146.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Yes | 9c | 139.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…6192backed No | 77c | 127$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 28c | 125.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Yes | 9c | 125.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed No | 69c | 124.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…0cefbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe33…bd18backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…d74fbacked Yes | 26c | 95.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…1ddcbacked Yes | 17c | 88.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Yes | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…12c3backed No | 77c | 83.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3226…321cbacked No | 78c | 81.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…da67backed Yes | 39c | 65.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 78c | 61.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc84…49f9backed Yes | 39c | 54.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 30c | 50.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…ddb0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee9…fc8bbacked No | 63c | 45.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…5c29backed Yes | 34c | 41.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…1a48backed Yes | 40c | 25.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?this page
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $25-30m?No won
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $30-35m?No won
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?Yes won
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $25m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.