Movies · resolved market
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36372e72a96ab95b20cd190626aaea27aa9fee07bd21abaa8468020eb7bbf3ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 42c | 14,964$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250.61 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 53c | 10,747$5,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.36 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 56c | 7,367$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.64 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 29c | 6,545$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.28 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 42c | 6,333$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.96 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…c5c7backed No | 1c | 5,999$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 7c | 5,789$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.14 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 54c | 5,112$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.57 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 44c | 4,190$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.79 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 40c | 2,950$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.51 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 28c | 2,244$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.35 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 26c | 2,100$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…98aebacked Yes | 41c | 1,924$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.92 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 2c | 1,857$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 3c | 1,795$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 12c | 1,666$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,567$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.37 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…bfb3backed Yes | 50c | 1,510$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 31c | 1,489$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.08 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 76c | 1,430$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 33c | 1,351$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.33 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 60c | 1,288$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.75 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 38c | 1,198$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.89 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 34c | 1,145$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.37 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Yes | 35c | 1,065$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.98 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 35c | 1,021$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.2 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 47c | 900$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 76c | 886.92$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked No | 47c | 850$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 35c | 785.3$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 36c | 784.06$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.75 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 23c | 778.92$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.38 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked No | 10c | 769.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…d5c3backed Yes | 30c | 723.96$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 687.39$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.67 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 60c | 650$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…d43bbacked No | 15c | 600$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 54c | 597$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.49 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 48c | 555$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.27 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 3c | 545$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 58c | 502.44$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd24…0416backed No | 7c | 459.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed No | 26c | 429.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 59c | 424.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…17b2backed Yes | 42c | 409.12$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…b66ebacked No | 3c | 404.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 60c | 398.35$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 300.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.63 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…9f3cbacked Yes | 39c | 272.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 260.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 75c | 246.15$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…bd36backed Yes | 58c | 225.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 54c | 221.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…c286backed Yes | 77c | 207.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 26c | 194.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 56c | 185.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 45c | 185.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 25c | 183.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc7…7543backed Yes | 31c | 179.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 35c | 171.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 65c | 165.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…e44bbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 55c | 138$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea7…8e04backed Yes | 32c | 137.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 46c | 132.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ca…eab7backed Yes | 40c | 126.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…e9babacked Yes | 38c | 108.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab3…d62fbacked Yes | 34c | 103.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…0cefbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6661…277dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x492c…1a99backed Yes | 32c | 98.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8260…64a0backed Yes | 56c | 94.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…8dcbbacked No | 63c | 86.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…1accbacked Yes | 38c | 82.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…3dffbacked Yes | 37c | 75.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…3e7fbacked No | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3b…dbfdbacked No | 70c | 74.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16e…e02fbacked No | 67c | 71.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…492abacked No | 44c | 69.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…8bbcbacked No | 62c | 67.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65de…aaffbacked No | 71c | 66.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe33…bd18backed Yes | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9377…75ecbacked No | 46c | 65.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…350ebacked No | 70c | 65.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…f399backed Yes | 31c | 65.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…51babacked Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee9…fc8bbacked Yes | 35c | 64.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…1ba8backed Yes | 40c | 64.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…0641backed No | 65c | 63.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…e2b5backed No | 64c | 62.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?this page
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $25-30m?No won
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $30-35m?No won
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $25m?No won
- Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.