NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b244cd533709e31b83503e21ea8ead01482df67d8682763f188a0937a512444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,078,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,120,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,078,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs | 37c | 70,878$26,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,251.25 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 60c | 64,405$38,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,860.76 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 62c | 57,460$35,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,610.96 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 43,450$28,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,326.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Spurs | 26c | 25,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.99 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Spurs | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.98 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 37c | 23,523$8,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,598.63 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Timberwolves | 43c | 22,840$9,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,905.54 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Spurs | 39c | 21,043$8,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,282.83 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 71c | 19,754$14,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,677.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 5c | 18,556$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.9 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs | 10c | 15,801$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.29 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Timberwolves | 64c | 13,414$8,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.04 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs | 9c | 13,278$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.32 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Spurs | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Timberwolves | 62c | 11,081$6,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.75 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…53a2backed Spurs | 37c | 11,080$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Spurs | 46c | 10,500$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.68 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 37c | 8,770$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Timberwolves | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves | 60c | 7,701$4,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.62 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Spurs | 38c | 7,466$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.08 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Spurs | 38c | 7,186$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.25 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Timberwolves | 60c | 7,035$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.74 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 8c | 6,497$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50d…81debacked Timberwolves | 59c | 6,102$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Spurs | 20c | 6,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Spurs | 39c | 5,813$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.04 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Spurs | 15c | 5,645$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.86 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 41c | 5,345$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.25 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 64c | 5,319$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Spurs | 37c | 5,201$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.97 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…5b34backed Timberwolves | 40c | 5,143$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,130$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.26 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Timberwolves | 58c | 5,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.95 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Spurs | 37c | 4,900$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Timberwolves | 65c | 4,715$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.1 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Spurs | 39c | 4,683$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.46 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Spurs | 25c | 4,216$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.99 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Spurs | 9c | 4,159$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.81 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 60c | 4,036$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.35 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 19c | 3,881$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.67 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Spurs | 52c | 3,846$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.22 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 37c | 3,655$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Spurs | 42c | 3,562$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.66 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Timberwolves | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Spurs | 40c | 3,500$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.99 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 43c | 3,408$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.51 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 3,333$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.6 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Spurs | 38c | 3,326$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Spurs | 41c | 3,141$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Timberwolves | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Spurs | 23c | 3,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spurs | 37c | 2,736$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.13 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 57c | 2,723$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.89 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Timberwolves | 63c | 2,714$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.18 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Spurs | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Spurs | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +84%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 48c | 2,344$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Spurs | 3c | 2,333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,300$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Timberwolves | 60c | 2,271$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.19 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,161$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.86 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Spurs | 29c | 2,093$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Spurs | 39c | 2,060$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.39 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Timberwolves | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…6fd3backed Spurs | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…5295backed Spurs | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Spurs | 37c | 1,980$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.6 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Spurs | 40c | 1,916$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.33 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Spurs | 38c | 1,855$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs | 37c | 1,803$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.11 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Timberwolves | 61c | 1,776$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.92 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Spurs | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 62c | 1,592$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.89 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Spurs | 37c | 1,580$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.2 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Spurs | 1c | 1,554$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Spurs | 59c | 1,525$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Timberwolves | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.99 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Spurs | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.96 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Spurs | 1c | 1,487$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Spurs | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…25b4backed Spurs | 40c | 1,425$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,366$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.09 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9909…b90cbacked Spurs | 37c | 1,360$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,358$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Spurs | 39c | 1,328$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.83 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Spurs | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Spurs | 38c | 1,284$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,283$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,276$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.98 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…bce6backed Spurs | 39c | 1,269$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Spurs | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.