NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe962ad240e3bd76e8ee4895a33a47a33416eed2cf199410441fa199bf3592497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 6,534$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 4,818$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.75 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Under | 47c | 3,900$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…7c03backed Over | 53c | 3,900$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…b6bebacked Under | 50c | 3,670$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.14 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,098$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 1,069$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.52 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 964$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.64 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…62bbbacked Under | 51c | 847.06$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 633.21$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.94 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 51c | 321.03$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 80c | 253.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 189$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 20c | 138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Over | 52c | 127$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 68c | 66.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Over | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 51c | 61.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 31.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…7a71backed Over | 54c | 29.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 51c | 26.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…d50cbacked Over | 53c | 19.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…0044backed Over | 55c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5this page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.