NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d15f08778c1874fdeee22c3850e4f986079394ad0879cc69dd374aaa49317e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves | 52c | 18,164$9,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,807.64 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 47c | 10,629$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.87 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 7,336$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.41 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 53c | 4,993$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Spurs | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.18 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…b6bebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 3,648$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…4cb8backed Spurs | 49c | 3,057$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,925$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.64 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,905$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.35 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 49c | 2,011$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 48c | 1,920$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.88 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,838$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs | 51c | 1,476$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.96 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Spurs | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,427$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.98 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Spurs | 44c | 992.32$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.62 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Timberwolves | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Spurs | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 48c | 736.71$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.86 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 52c | 644.35$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.29 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs | 48c | 545$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Spurs | 48c | 501.24$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.52 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 476.92$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 49c | 404.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.89 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Timberwolves | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 53c | 357.4$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Spurs | 49c | 289.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 53c | 274$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Spurs | 47c | 266$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…dc07backed Timberwolves | 52c | 251$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb1…f98dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 249$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…a690backed Timberwolves | 52c | 248$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…fa25backed Spurs | 49c | 229$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…4128backed Timberwolves | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…6ff7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 204$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 203.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Timberwolves | 51c | 194.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Spurs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…140fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 186$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…dd4dbacked Spurs | 49c | 178$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…7785backed Spurs | 49c | 173$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 170.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed7…52e6backed Spurs | 49c | 163$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…aad6backed Spurs | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…d8edbacked Spurs | 49c | 138$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…ba46backed Spurs | 49c | 127$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves | 52c | 122.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…3aaabacked Spurs | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Spurs | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Spurs | 50c | 109.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Timberwolves | 52c | 109.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…1d13backed Spurs | 49c | 108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Timberwolves | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Spurs | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Spurs | 50c | 99.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Timberwolves | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…2fb1backed Spurs | 49c | 97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…8d34backed Spurs | 50c | 89.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Timberwolves | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Spurs | 47c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Timberwolves | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Timberwolves | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Spurs | 48c | 52.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4ee7backed Spurs | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Spurs | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…7b1ebacked Spurs | 51c | 39.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9365…1389backed Spurs | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Spurs | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Timberwolves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 34.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Spurs | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Spurs | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Spurs | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…1b1abacked Spurs | 50c | 27.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 49c | 25.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Spurs | 49c | 24.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 172 | 39%67 W · 105 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Timberwolves | 51c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.