NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dc7c93b99f0d0ff01ac2c9b9d3c991771da08b2447637b050aced4cae786939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $794,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $789,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 550 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 44c | 120,000$52,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,711.2 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 76c | 71,680$54,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,763.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Kings | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,499.95 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Kings | 32c | 36,597$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,797 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 41c | 24,858$10,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,606.67 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Heat | 61c | 21,276$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 24c | 20,002$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,285.25 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Heat | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,399.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Kings | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,199.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 23c | 15,130$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,650 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Kings | 24c | 15,020$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,465.32 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 23c | 13,741$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,635.02 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 77c | 12,987$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 48c | 12,049$5,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.87 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Kings | 42c | 10,345$4,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,997.02 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Heat | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Kings | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce45…d358backed Heat | 4c | 10,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Heat | 50c | 9,918$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kings | 22c | 9,873$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700.66 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Heat | 76c | 9,750$7,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,410 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 12c | 8,880$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.7 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 23c | 8,443$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.84 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Kings | 25c | 8,034$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,025.5 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 28c | 7,055$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,106.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 24c | 5,100$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 22c | 5,083$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…3327backed Heat | 65c | 4,512$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Kings | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.75 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 73c | 4,357$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Heat | 77c | 4,285$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.62 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Kings | 22c | 4,135$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.17 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.91 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 63c | 3,990$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Heat | 77c | 3,908$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 64c | 3,647$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Heat | 71c | 3,538$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Kings | 72c | 3,270$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.5 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Heat | 1c | 3,231$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Kings | 32c | 3,157$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.62 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Heat | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 61c | 2,955$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.19 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Heat | 61c | 2,939$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.38 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 76c | 2,722$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.79 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Kings | 76c | 2,643$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.13 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Kings | 23c | 2,631$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.54 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Kings | 23c | 2,619$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.39 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Heat | 77c | 2,545$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.65 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kings | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Kings | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 53c | 2,470$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.25 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Kings | 24c | 2,463$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.88 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 51c | 2,412$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.77 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Heat | 0c | 2,271$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 23c | 2,269$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.11 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 26c | 2,190$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.56 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81cb…a228backed Kings | 22c | 2,079$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 77c | 2,000$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.78 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Heat | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Kings | 25c | 1,962$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.38 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Heat | 5c | 1,881$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 33c | 1,838$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.42 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Kings | 24c | 1,650$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Kings | 25c | 1,596$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.8 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Heat | 18c | 1,560$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…6835backed Heat | 1c | 1,517$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Kings | 23c | 1,514$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.66 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kings | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Heat | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Heat | 36c | 1,394$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Kings | 23c | 1,390$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.68 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 76c | 1,384$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.97 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…06c5backed Kings | 24c | 1,365$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Heat | 76c | 1,320$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kings | 25c | 1,272$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Kings | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kings | 24c | 1,157$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.56 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Kings | 21c | 1,100$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Heat | 78c | 1,100$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Heat | 32c | 1,070$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.76 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 24c | 1,066$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.79 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Heat | 78c | 1,036$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.87 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Kings | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Kings | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Kings | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Heat | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked Kings | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Heat | 26c | 999.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heat | 76c | 987$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.12 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Kings | 24c | 984.62$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.31 | 447 | 51.5%230 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Kings | 44c | 962.49$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.34 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…3733backed Kings | 32c | 950.22$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…7b3dbacked Heat | 77c | 938.96$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Kings | 23c | 895.8$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.85 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Kings | 73c | 806.81$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.84 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Kings | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Heatthis page
- Kings vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Kings vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Under won
- Kings vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Under won
- Kings vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Under won
- Kings vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Under won
- Kings vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Kings won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Kings won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.