TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c8,039$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.391,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa8…00cfbacked Yes6c7,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes19c4,257$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.096439.1%25 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Yes4c4,018$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes15c4,000$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6124843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes3c3,892$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.871030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x225b…422abacked Yes51c3,211$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.412020%4 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes46c2,586$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1906716.4%11 W · 56 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked No57c2,444$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-78%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No74c2,253$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbdc…3d54backed Yes9c2,070$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9590%0 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x92e5…d129backed No69c1,786$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.192259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+78.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0522…02f4backed No54c1,712$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.281533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes18c1,623$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.385111.8%6 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe14f…c1a0backed Yes14c1,620$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed No66c1,500$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-81%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked No79c1,378$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.352853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Yes33c1,362$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.47742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe632…aa26backed No53c1,051$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63e2…5579backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb796…58a8backed No42c966.68$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes4c959.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.941723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…7807backed Yes56c800$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed No63c750$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+322.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f3…0ebabacked No73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.933647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Yes37c676.2$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.121414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes38c676.11$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.032646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x755d…6accbacked Yes5c616.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.555521.8%12 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c3c…b4ecbacked Yes3c599.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2180%0 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes37c559$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.99933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8f…b281backed No54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4c…c1ddbacked No50c544.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…2606backed No47c537.73$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.61020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357540%30 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30b8…f41fbacked No74c499.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb743…57f7backed Yes5c411.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes16c397$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6918311.5%21 W · 162 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfd…e425backed No45c380.32$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7d…bb96backed Yes36c376.08$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No50c355.94$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8515452.6%81 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33af…675ebacked Yes5c312.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e5…4485backed Yes31c301.8$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0238…c051backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…4845backed Yes25c297$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Yes59c253.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d52…f88abacked No40c251.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.682626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes40c248.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009447.9%45 W · 49 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9045…321abacked Yes5c239.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Yes5c238.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95850%4 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No58c236.69$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.825950.8%30 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc42f…78a0backed No56c232$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.087636.8%28 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No72c227.64$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.837852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5819…087fbacked Yes49c209.82$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.732339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb94c…3c05backed No52c203.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.54742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick20cpaid+163.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe52…32c5backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d4b…e72fbacked Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa515…fd70backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f58…187cbacked Yes59c188.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c9…3c6bbacked Yes23c177$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes36c169.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4618323%42 W · 141 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes45c155.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.782733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3058…fc70backed Yes26c152$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No45c151.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.832941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c0…1c8ebacked No51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.68241.5%34 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x299b…a136backed Yes26c137.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Yes39c135.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.538551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2098…c8aebacked No43c135.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6635…ffcbbacked Yes26c128$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes44c125.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3689317.1%153 W · 740 L-144.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-61.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed No43c111$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked Yes46c108.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed No65c107.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.771338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd956…5151backed Yes26c100.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No66c99.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.992050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9437…6c5dbacked Yes47c91.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.411729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a59…c2b6backed Yes27c82.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.441060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked No67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x283e…9316backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa70b…b434backed Yes55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x117a…01babacked Yes61c48.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.87520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e4…c67bbacked No43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a1…b40ebacked No43c41.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.86540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+175.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f59…4382backed No39c41.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes55c40.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0817350.3%87 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36a…2aaebacked No49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked No43c38.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.097338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc99c…5c6bbacked Yes56c35.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8af…37e5backed Yes62c32.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-74.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa37c…7e98backed Yes47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb96…0d03backed Yes64c31.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5927…672bbacked No74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cd…c1eebacked No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No49c27.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9721125.6%54 W · 157 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f3…e5c4backed No41c25.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.27650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418f…7b8fbacked No40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…72c7backed No70c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5673…98fdbacked No54c23.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.651040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9326…8807backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dcd…f033backed No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.