TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$306,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c18,375$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.381,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…2680backed Yes27c17,600$4,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,791.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+266%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6f…6485backed Yes28c17,550$4,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,717.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+263.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb30…b84cbacked Yes25c17,300$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,975250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4a…5209backed Yes28c17,000$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed No63c7,181$4,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,549.466453.1%34 W · 30 L+12.9wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+95.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked No1c6,496$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.98120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc042…ea55backed No75c6,200$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,65020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd813…7b0dbacked No73c6,100$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,45310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…eb22backed No72c5,900$4,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,271.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa239…9733backed No73c5,900$4,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,306.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb133…de17backed No73c5,850$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88eb…2792backed No73c5,800$4,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe5…3912backed No75c5,800$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3874…dd21backed No72c5,750$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe28c…1f32backed No72c5,650$4,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,06810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b2…e855backed No72c5,600$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…3a54backed No72c5,600$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,03210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x369c…73a1backed No75c5,300$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,97510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Yes35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ac…955dbacked Yes10c4,911$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+255.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed No65c4,341$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.82812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-81%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes24c3,290$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.036439.1%25 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked Yes27c3,000$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1961346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes27c2,977$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.071330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ea…15cdbacked Yes55c2,568$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.361291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes37c2,345$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.161838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes35c2,171$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.354843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed No65c2,036$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.762416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.991520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes29c1,817$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+46.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes24c1,640$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.675046%23 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No80c1,452$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.118041.3%33 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d71…87d5backed Yes28c1,400$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.511741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes10c1,200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803231.3%10 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe14f…c1a0backed Yes27c1,162$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.77922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No21c1,118$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8621713.4%29 W · 188 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be3…7100backed Yes41c1,082$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0702…d5f9backed Yes40c1,067$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.272552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked No64c1,006$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.7640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc324…4cd6backed Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes29c914$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.234522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes31c873.1$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.188122.2%18 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb27f…8908backed Yes36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5122035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes29c791$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.562814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No64c786.65$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.0825731.5%81 W · 176 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x328f…4079backed Yes43c738.1$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.951020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…4547backed Yes40c703.61$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.11070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes26c681.76$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.0157426.8%154 W · 420 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No71c660.39$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.9247938%182 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d88…b0c4backed No71c628.73$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.013132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea1…327abacked No80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No68c599.99$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4068923.6%21 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…e0bcbacked Yes37c540$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.119632.3%31 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x395c…b920backed Yes40c487.18$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99ac…a576backed No66c453.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed No69c436.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-66.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Yes8c422.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+322.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked No68c417.09$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.572733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb42d…f33ebacked Yes22c399.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.99850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbdc…3d54backed No78c366.05$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.8790%0 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8653…4e44backed Yes38c362.16$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cad…994fbacked No71c349.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No72c347.7$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.045111.8%6 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0728…d4e0backed Yes38c328.94$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.831060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf6c…7597backed Yes31c326.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.46728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf84…f0fabacked Yes43c318.54$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a0…5cc4backed No72c307.61$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b7…f9e3backed No59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Yes30c299.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2091435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed No67c299$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.327510.7%8 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-82.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No12c290$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9920148.8%98 W · 103 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No60c271.32$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8815452.6%81 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No71c266.7$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.214052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d1…4e30backed Yes40c258$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.163348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No65c249.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4912636.5%46 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes26c249.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.994734%16 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No26c236.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.563438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes33c235.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.834050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed No65c230$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.52524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-57.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x270a…7b78backed Yes28c220$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.966428.1%18 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…5b68backed Yes24c217.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+78.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57aa…04c5backed Yes5c205$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.921315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+66.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec06…9178backed Yes8c204$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.683542.9%15 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+160.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6252…495dbacked Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec01…6592backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes28c199.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.98633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17c9…5b69backed Yes29c195$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe632…aa26backed No69c190.2$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb94c…3c05backed Yes7c189.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.94742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick20cpaid+163.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed No78c181.69$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.722540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9119…d179backed Yes36c164.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.58944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No71c163.82$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.064325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No78c163.1$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.627852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755d…6accbacked Yes27c158.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.285521.8%12 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004228.6%12 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed No65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x756d…75e6backed Yes36c153.61$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.551850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed Yes8c150$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.56647%31 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.