TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Saif Ali Khan be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ab1…6afbbacked Yes21c22,900$4,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7988…560dbacked Yes21c21,900$4,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,533.320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c9,713$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.831,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…ab1cbacked Yes26c9,439$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.4450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d9…767dbacked No79c6,200$4,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b1…9d66backed No79c6,100$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc8…a70dbacked No79c5,900$4,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb857…a6aabacked No79c5,700$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ad…e8b8backed No79c5,350$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…827cbacked No79c5,300$4,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ef…9af8backed No79c5,200$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd489…1278backed No79c5,050$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes19c3,726$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.254843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Yes16c2,676$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a6f…d4aebacked No76c2,523$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.65425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-67.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…b1fdbacked No76c2,000$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked No78c1,786$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3931346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d88…b0c4backed No71c1,313$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.553132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes18c1,174$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.253447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes22c1,174$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.854522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d71…87d5backed Yes23c1,100$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.191741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1048…06d6backed No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc324…4cd6backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes7c1,000$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.53842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+114.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fa8…00cfbacked Yes7c999.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed Yes14c966.08$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.636453.1%34 W · 30 L+12.9wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+95.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes24c855$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06a…1dd1backed No76c815.86$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27f…8908backed Yes18c800.15$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.042035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe14f…c1a0backed Yes22c750$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.81922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5819…087fbacked Yes31c626.42$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.992339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes18c599.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.81921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes3c599.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.782733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee0…aff9backed Yes25c558.49$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes29c530$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.677540%30 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked No80c500.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.722161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30b8…f41fbacked Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes19c461.75$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.385046%23 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e73…a236backed No80c423.11$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes15c421.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-73.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0522…02f4backed No78c418.01$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.141533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes31c407.34$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1277338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes23c355.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.418311.5%21 W · 162 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa553…3eaebacked Yes29c348.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8a0…5cc4backed No77c344.4$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed No76c329.11$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.293187.1%27 W · 4 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+26.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d04…b81ebacked No76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked No66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes16c299.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.912636.5%46 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee4…fa88backed No77c288.78$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.811330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes8c244.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.528828.5%82 W · 206 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedfd…e425backed No79c233.25$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked Yes22c231.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No78c223.55$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.264052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No78c220$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-78.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7130…c66fbacked No80c215$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f2…d8efbacked No78c195.17$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes15c191.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1189417.1%153 W · 741 L-145.2wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-61.4%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x3a59…c2b6backed Yes20c144.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf6c…7597backed Yes29c144.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7d…bb96backed Yes25c140.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Yes22c137.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecef…75fabacked No80c133.87$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes22c129.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.914228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed No76c118.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes15c101.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4418323%42 W · 141 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8640712.3%50 W · 357 L-35.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa70b…b434backed Yes21c70.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x755d…6accbacked Yes25c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45521.8%12 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b85…6ee7backed No80c62.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8811100%11 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x73e5…5bb5backed No73c54.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No73c51.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.743627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88df…a457backed No80c50.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0629…b513backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…b071backed No78c49.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.741428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No78c49.14$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9815452.6%81 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5260…fd71backed Yes27c37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.032330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…cc0cbacked No78c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No78c30.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.794748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf98…4f1fbacked No79c26.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x627f…6409backed No80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.314100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f7…d77fbacked No78c25.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b23…5e5ebacked No79c25.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.332070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85f8…b0e1backed No80c25.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39db…1491backed No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x886d…0479backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0892…48d8backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.31250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9437…6c5dbacked No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.741729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc164…74d4backed No65c16.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked No75c13.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.