TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0892…48d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst F1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+39.1%+$16.58
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.3%+$15.5
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+141%+$23.4
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+37.4%+$28.33
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+157.7%+$61.2
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+89.5%+$12.07
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$94.74
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+36.8%+$301.9
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.4%+$178.98
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27.32
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.66
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.24
Will SP win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.98
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Solana dip to $130 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.96
Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.48
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.99
Will Solana reach $300 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.02
Will Solana dip to $150 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Solana reach $270 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50.58
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$31.48
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+44.7%+$20.97
Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Saif Ali Khan be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+27.4%+$4.3
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.44
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+65.5%+$11.08
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+158.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,227.3
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,004.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 September third hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.