World Politics · resolved market
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90394c2848abe272fc43ab6d3842efc6ebcf41aee50ec9fdca1980a6452ff19a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,445,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,722,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,445,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf808…af6cbacked No | 12c | 73,672$8,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,802.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 19c | 52,917$10,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,222.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 10c | 45,517$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,627.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…7c67backed No | 7c | 38,044$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed No | 5c | 25,338$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…73efbacked No | 3c | 22,485$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 13c | 22,198$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…fcbfbacked No | 5c | 18,732$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked No | 0c | 15,985$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 5c | 13,395$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.6 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked No | 10c | 12,389$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.72 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…4282backed No | 5c | 11,778$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…f669backed No | 11c | 11,568$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 3c | 11,378$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…3896backed No | 12c | 10,499$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 26c | 9,966$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.1 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 13c | 9,119$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b31…ef69backed No | 10c | 8,750$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…8d0abacked No | 13c | 8,722$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 11c | 8,500$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 74c | 8,466$6,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.36 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 8c | 8,292$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked No | 9c | 8,275$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 68c | 7,604$5,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.24 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 5c | 7,175$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…1354backed No | 2c | 7,120$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…6f9dbacked No | 2c | 6,390$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b9…47cebacked No | 12c | 6,221$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…a91fbacked No | 3c | 6,081$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…1bd7backed No | 5c | 5,649$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 7c | 5,456$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.09 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 6c | 5,447$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.3 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…d0d5backed No | 4c | 5,400$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6958…9a33backed No | 10c | 4,923$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…3715backed No | 11c | 4,895$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed No | 4c | 4,871$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…1987backed No | 7c | 4,747$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 3c | 4,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…a9d3backed No | 5c | 3,919$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…4cc3backed No | 12c | 3,822$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…8106backed No | 2c | 3,819$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…403dbacked No | 6c | 3,797$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 6c | 3,781$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…0e83backed No | 11c | 3,470$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…0f5dbacked No | 15c | 3,293$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 9c | 3,275$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 7c | 3,253$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33b…8650backed No | 13c | 3,110$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,922$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.6 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cd28backed No | 3c | 2,796$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…d961backed No | 4c | 2,628$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,582$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 72c | 2,550$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.66 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 2c | 2,519$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked No | 9c | 2,411$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 79c | 2,280$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…9669backed No | 2c | 2,154$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…e7d1backed No | 3c | 1,935$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ed…a282backed No | 7c | 1,856$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 1c | 1,824$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ce16backed No | 4c | 1,794$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 1c | 1,749$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…665cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,661$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 75c | 1,561$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.06 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 10c | 1,525$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…3c66backed No | 33c | 1,501$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 4c | 1,470$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed No | 15c | 1,467$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…7f9dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,452$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed No | 4c | 1,368$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed No | 14c | 1,367$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 27c | 1,329$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.52 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…6a00backed No | 2c | 1,324$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…29f0backed No | 28c | 1,305$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7880…009bbacked No | 3c | 1,269$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Yes | 68c | 1,181$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,174$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed No | 12c | 1,104$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165f…b311backed No | 3c | 1,090$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…44efbacked No | 15c | 1,067$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 15c | 1,066$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…c20ebacked No | 14c | 1,024$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed No | 13c | 1,003$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…8eb9backed No | 9c | 1,001$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…2943backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…01e2backed No | 2c | 999.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 17c | 912.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 74c | 911.06$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.98 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 9c | 865.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…910abacked No | 2c | 863.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 11c | 843.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Yes | 76c | 809.47$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked No | 12c | 723.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…ffaebacked No | 11c | 723.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…e206backed No | 3c | 718.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…47a5backed No | 14c | 709.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…d384backed No | 5c | 632.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd10b…9c56backed No | 9c | 610.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…9ba1backed No | 13c | 590.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?this page
- Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No won
- Will Kateřina Konečná be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No won
- Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No won
- Will Tomio Okamura be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No won
- Will Vít Rakušan be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.