TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf960…fcbf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$121.5
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,443.25
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$44.34
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+59.2%+$20.09
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26.01
UFC Fight Night: Rock vs. Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Aliev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$8.4
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$51.15
Garcia vs. Onamabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.5%+$41.63
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.11
Wells vs. Gorimbobacked Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+67.4%+$140.06
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+320.6%+$351.91
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$332.81
Klein vs. Rebeckibacked Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.7
Raposo vs. Maksumbacked Raposo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$31.27
Almeida vs. Aswell Jr.backed Aswell Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
Petersen vs. Petrinobacked Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$19.72
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+217.4%+$836.97
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$4,012.06
Jordan Vucenic vs. Chris Duncanbacked Vucenic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Shauna Bannon vs. Puja Tomarbacked Bannon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$51.47
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.03
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+108%+$100.49
Prochazka vs. Hillbacked Prochazka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+111.7%+$1,372.1
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$152.83
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+525%+$211.29
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.99
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$969.38
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.5
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$308.19
Will Piráti get between 11% and 14% of the vote in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will SPD get between 7% and 10% of the vote in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$572.46
SPD wins 14% or more of vote in Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.6
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$9,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+182.6%+$16,577
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$217.24
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick22cpaid+365.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Djokovic win a gold medal in Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+365.1%+$78.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+51.2%+$11.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$36.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,289.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.