UFC · resolved market
Almeida vs. Aswell Jr.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6d616a5839f68af54ddf131a20d9a1a3dff903bb2a7f234b70c32901b7949e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aswell Jr.of Almeida, Aswell Jr.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,113,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,153,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,113,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Almeida | 32c | 999,396$318,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318,720.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 200,000$137,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,000 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Aswell Jr. | 68c | 170,391$115,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,525.02 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 160,768$108,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,226.23 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 120,362$81,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,522.99 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Aswell Jr. | 68c | 100,225$68,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,867.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 100,000$68,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,000 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 76,769$53,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,528.22 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aswell Jr. | 68c | 33,000$22,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,460 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Aswell Jr. | 69c | 22,417$15,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,950.8 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 21,000$14,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Aswell Jr. | 67c | 5,313$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.42 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 4,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Almeida | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Almeida | 32c | 3,100$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Aswell Jr. | 74c | 2,827$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 2,741$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.86 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Aswell Jr. | 60c | 2,645$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aswell Jr. | 69c | 2,578$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.24 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Aswell Jr. | 70c | 2,050$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Aswell Jr. | 74c | 1,956$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.67 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Almeida | 31c | 1,706$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aswell Jr. | 67c | 1,586$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.21 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Almeida | 54c | 1,569$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 1,485$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Aswell Jr. | 70c | 1,470$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Almeida | 47c | 1,450$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.72 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 1,229$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Almeida | 33c | 1,170$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.11 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aswell Jr. | 69c | 1,150$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.22 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Aswell Jr. | 68c | 1,070$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.62 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Aswell Jr. | 68c | 1,018$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.65 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Aswell Jr. | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Almeida | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Almeida | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Almeida | 30c | 939$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Aswell Jr. | 67c | 824.98$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Aswell Jr. | 52c | 567$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Almeida | 33c | 516.42$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Aswell Jr. | 75c | 500$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Almeida | 31c | 499.96$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 461.18$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Aswell Jr. | 74c | 403.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Aswell Jr. | 66c | 389.48$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Aswell Jr. | 68c | 376.52$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Almeida | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Almeida | 32c | 307.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Almeida | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…2090backed Almeida | 31c | 299.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Almeida | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 294.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Almeida | 4c | 291.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 290.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Almeida | 4c | 280$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Aswell Jr. | 66c | 260$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Almeida | 32c | 235.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Aswell Jr. | 64c | 223.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Aswell Jr. | 69c | 210.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Almeida | 32c | 162$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Almeida | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Aswell Jr. | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Almeida | 43c | 128.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Almeida | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Almeida | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Almeida | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Almeida | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…ce8bbacked Aswell Jr. | 69c | 98.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Almeida | 41c | 80.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Aswell Jr. | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Aswell Jr. | 71c | 66.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Almeida | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Almeida | 33c | 61.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Almeida | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…3bcfbacked Almeida | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Almeida | 34c | 58.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Aswell Jr. | 70c | 56.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 52.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…5478backed Aswell Jr. | 70c | 51.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Almeida | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…a569backed Aswell Jr. | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Almeida | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…dfbbbacked Almeida | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…c0d3backed Aswell Jr. | 72c | 49.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Almeida | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aswell Jr. | 68c | 43.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…9f7abacked Almeida | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Aswell Jr. | 69c | 39.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Almeida | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…881abacked Aswell Jr. | 68c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…fcbfbacked Aswell Jr. | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…7697backed Aswell Jr. | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Aswell Jr. | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Almeida vs. Aswell Jr.this page
- Alekseeva vs. MesquitaMesquita won
- Diniz vs. PintoPinto won
- Figueiredo vs. JacksonFigueiredo won
- Filho vs. CarpenterFilho won
- Kowalkiewicz vs. PolastriPolastri won
- Luque vs. ÁlvarezÁlvarez won
- Oliveira vs. GamrotOliveira won
- Petersen vs. PetrinoPetrino won
- Ramos vs. OfliOfli won
- Rocha vs. NicollRocha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.