UFC · resolved market

Ramos vs. Ofli

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x093d72247a579809ed7c7c410966bf685657cfb4a8f4b52a2db5ffc1bc0f29e0

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ofliof Ramos, Ofli
Resolved: Oct 11, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $68,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,191 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Ramos	67c	19,750$13,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,315.67	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Ramos	69c	10,686$7,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,417.47	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Ofli	32c	7,594$2,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,164.15	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Ofli	33c	7,548$2,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,057.3	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Ofli	30c	6,708$2,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,695.66	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Ramos	68c	5,000$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Ofli	34c	4,633$1,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,070.52	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdd…5feabacked Ramos	66c	3,000$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	60cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Ofli	31c	2,900$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,001	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Ofli	32c	2,600$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,768	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Ofli	33c	2,550$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,708.5	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Ofli	30c	2,453$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,717.27	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Ramos	51c	2,014$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.16	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Ofli	31c	2,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+6.2wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+47%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Ofli	31c	1,770$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,216.88	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ramos	45c	1,573$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.13	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Ofli	31c	1,500$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Ramos	70c	1,315$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.39	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Ofli	36c	1,083$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.11	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Ofli	68c	1,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ramos	67c	1,000$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Ofli	33c	863.75$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.15	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Ramos	63c	849.98$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.72	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Ofli	32c	810.94$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.34	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ba…9c04backed Ramos	64c	723.26$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.89	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Ramos	4c	700$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	223	34.1%76 W · 147 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Ramos	68c	686.72$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.97	171	58.5%100 W · 71 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Ramos	70c	611.41$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Ramos	68c	517.65$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Ramos	69c	400$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Ofli	31c	362.5$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.12	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb37f…6d0ebacked Ramos	70c	317.14$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Ofli	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Ofli	34c	299.99$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.89	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Ramos	68c	295.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Ramos	69c	289.86$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Ramos	70c	228.57$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	134	50%67 W · 67 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Ofli	32c	200$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Ofli	33c	200$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Ofli	33c	184.03$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.03	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Ofli	38c	168.42$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.42	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Ramos	68c	160$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.8	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Ofli	33c	150$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.5	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Ramos	69c	146.19$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.46	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1247…9ce9backed Ramos	70c	142.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…f1c9backed Ofli	38c	131.71$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.71	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+29%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Ramos	67c	110$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.2	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Ofli	33c	100$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.34	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Ofli	33c	99.97$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.98	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Ramos	66c	98.48$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Ramos	70c	94.29$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Ramos	62c	91.69$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.85	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Ofli	34c	88.24$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.24	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a7…8f05backed Ramos	69c	86.96$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4aa…3100backed Ramos	67c	70$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Ramos	67c	68.87$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.14	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Ofli	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Ofli	34c	61.3$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.46	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Ofli	31c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdde5…a569backed Ramos	68c	60$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Ofli	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Ramos	70c	57.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e15…e4fabacked Ramos	70c	57.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e5…1d48backed Ofli	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	110	57.3%63 W · 47 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Ofli	33c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Ramos	64c	49.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	167	36.5%61 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe795…e6debacked Ramos	66c	46.95$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4e3…2dd1backed Ramos	68c	43.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36c…247cbacked Ofli	34c	35.15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.35	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b3…a0d9backed Ramos	63c	35.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6aa…bbd0backed Ofli	38c	35.13$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.78	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+163.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Ofli	33c	33.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.33	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Ramos	69c	28.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4997…2fc3backed Ramos	69c	28.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Ramos	69c	26.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed Ramos	70c	24.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.44	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Ramos	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf9d…c956backed Ramos	66c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	229	53.3%122 W · 107 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ramos vs. Oflithis page
Alekseeva vs. MesquitaMesquita won
Almeida vs. Aswell Jr.Aswell Jr. won
Diniz vs. PintoPinto won
Figueiredo vs. JacksonFigueiredo won
Filho vs. CarpenterFilho won
Kowalkiewicz vs. PolastriPolastri won
Luque vs. ÁlvarezÁlvarez won
Oliveira vs. GamrotOliveira won
Petersen vs. PetrinoPetrino won
Rocha vs. NicollRocha won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ramos vs. Ofli

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event