TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Figueiredo vs. Jackson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Figueiredoof Figueiredo, Jackson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$319,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b15…9b08backed Jackson30c42,004$12,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,782.7829151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Figueiredo27c22,358$5,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,423.526451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Jackson75c20,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00022259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jackson73c18,593$13,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,583.7719544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Figueiredo27c16,768$4,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,259.983234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Figueiredo60c16,532$9,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,574.9420139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Figueiredo71c15,799$11,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,601.0118145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Figueiredo25c14,807$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,105.135632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Jackson72c12,587$9,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,058.0212262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Jackson74c11,170$8,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,235.5435253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb277…0aaabacked Figueiredo28c10,697$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,697.31735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Jackson72c9,551$6,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,914.2730964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Figueiredo70c9,326$6,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.7610522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jackson72c7,752$5,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,612.0833253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2088…7a21backed Figueiredo29c6,902$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Figueiredo70c6,326$4,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.2323850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Figueiredo39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0503961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Figueiredo27c4,927$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,596.737841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jackson75c4,800$3,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,593.6617158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Jackson73c4,468$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.046746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Figueiredo28c4,100$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95235826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Jackson74c4,009$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,966.663751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Figueiredo78c3,361$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.1814530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Figueiredo27c3,048$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.256349.2%31 W · 32 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34f7…28bfbacked Jackson74c2,690$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Figueiredo27c2,117$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.7231855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Figueiredo26c2,004$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4833661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Figueiredo32c2,000$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3583171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+47%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed Jackson74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Figueiredo74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52013650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jackson73c1,561$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.5318560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Figueiredo28c1,535$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.274946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Jackson74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Jackson74c1,216$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.033740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Jackson70c1,200$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.878939.3%35 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Jackson73c1,042$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.833151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x285b…5231backed Jackson71c1,031$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.212259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jackson71c1,000$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.5311746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Figueiredo28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7204953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Jackson73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7301369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+54.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6b5…e04fbacked Jackson73c969.96$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.071450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed Figueiredo27c956.96$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.583132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Jackson74c900$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6668655.8%48 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Figueiredo62c895$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.19336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Figueiredo28c868.13$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.137233.3%24 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c54…82babacked Figueiredo30c833.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.338757.5%50 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Jackson73c802.74$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5861533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-45.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Jackson16c772.74$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4232545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Figueiredo40c723.46$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.372161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Jackson4c700$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Figueiredo69c651.61$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.421353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Figueiredo34c644.69$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.692055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Jackson71c644.18$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fb…6f69backed Figueiredo27c640$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+195.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc38…e7c2backed Figueiredo28c594.59$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.5912639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Jackson71c589.98$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.893661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Jackson72c555$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.611140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4dd…6934backed Figueiredo28c538.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.462839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Jackson74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Figueiredo26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Jackson74c496$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.042236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Jackson73c469.86$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3433943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57b…73ecbacked Figueiredo76c463.62$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…f1c9backed Figueiredo71c454.61$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.012475%18 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Figueiredo61c421.46$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3720954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Figueiredo28c421.11$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.251533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Figueiredo27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2925362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Figueiredo42c391.75$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9453956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Figueiredo27c388.52$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.526462.5%40 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68fe…8792backed Figueiredo27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.372642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Figueiredo27c369.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5810043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Figueiredo28c359.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.694344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed Figueiredo28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7000…bf9cbacked Figueiredo28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Figueiredo29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…3b83backed Figueiredo29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Figueiredo30c338.48$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6110653.8%57 W · 49 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Figueiredo66c324.15$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5121247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a01…6397backed Figueiredo74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786254.8%34 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Jackson74c287$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3813450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Figueiredo27c264.85$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3435539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Figueiredo47c230$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.156450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabf…c681backed Figueiredo44c228.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jackson73c226$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9813953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Figueiredo28c220$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.448749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1247…9ce9backed Figueiredo27c219.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.583839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Jackson74c202.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Figueiredo27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1467451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Figueiredo27c200$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14728743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Figueiredo26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Jackson73c199.95$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.966031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Figueiredo71c197$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2939959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f9b…d771backed Figueiredo28c195.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.451915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Figueiredo27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1913059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5037…a863backed Figueiredo27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1911054.5%60 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c3…3800backed Figueiredo28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Figueiredo65c169.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3937754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Figueiredo29c169.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.492040%8 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Figueiredo30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6715848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb37f…6d0ebacked Figueiredo41c166.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.621947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.