UFC · resolved market
Figueiredo vs. Jackson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9fc6ccb501a14b8f8829ae6019916d608bbbcd24bf0ad463c5521e4340ddd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Figueiredoof Figueiredo, Jackson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Jackson | 30c | 42,004$12,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,782.78 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Figueiredo | 27c | 22,358$5,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,423.52 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Jackson | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jackson | 73c | 18,593$13,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,583.77 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Figueiredo | 27c | 16,768$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,259.98 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Figueiredo | 60c | 16,532$9,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,574.94 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Figueiredo | 71c | 15,799$11,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.01 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Figueiredo | 25c | 14,807$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,105.13 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Jackson | 72c | 12,587$9,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,058.02 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jackson | 74c | 11,170$8,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,235.54 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…0aaabacked Figueiredo | 28c | 10,697$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,697.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Jackson | 72c | 9,551$6,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,914.27 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Figueiredo | 70c | 9,326$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.76 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jackson | 72c | 7,752$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612.08 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…7a21backed Figueiredo | 29c | 6,902$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Figueiredo | 70c | 6,326$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.23 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Figueiredo | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Figueiredo | 27c | 4,927$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.73 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jackson | 75c | 4,800$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.66 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Jackson | 73c | 4,468$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.04 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Figueiredo | 28c | 4,100$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Jackson | 74c | 4,009$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.66 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Figueiredo | 78c | 3,361$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.18 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Figueiredo | 27c | 3,048$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.25 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…28bfbacked Jackson | 74c | 2,690$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Figueiredo | 27c | 2,117$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.72 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Figueiredo | 26c | 2,004$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Figueiredo | 32c | 2,000$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Jackson | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Figueiredo | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jackson | 73c | 1,561$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.53 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Figueiredo | 28c | 1,535$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.27 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Jackson | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Jackson | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.03 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Jackson | 70c | 1,200$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.87 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Jackson | 73c | 1,042$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.83 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Jackson | 71c | 1,031$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jackson | 71c | 1,000$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.53 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Figueiredo | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Jackson | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b5…e04fbacked Jackson | 73c | 969.96$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Figueiredo | 27c | 956.96$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.58 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Jackson | 74c | 900$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Figueiredo | 62c | 895$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.1 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Figueiredo | 28c | 868.13$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.13 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Figueiredo | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Jackson | 73c | 802.74$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Jackson | 16c | 772.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Figueiredo | 40c | 723.46$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Jackson | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Figueiredo | 69c | 651.61$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Figueiredo | 34c | 644.69$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Jackson | 71c | 644.18$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…6f69backed Figueiredo | 27c | 640$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Figueiredo | 28c | 594.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.59 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Jackson | 71c | 589.98$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.89 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Jackson | 72c | 555$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…6934backed Figueiredo | 28c | 538.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.46 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Jackson | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Figueiredo | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Jackson | 74c | 496$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Jackson | 73c | 469.86$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Figueiredo | 76c | 463.62$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…f1c9backed Figueiredo | 71c | 454.61$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Figueiredo | 61c | 421.46$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Figueiredo | 28c | 421.11$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.2 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Figueiredo | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Figueiredo | 42c | 391.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Figueiredo | 27c | 388.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.52 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Figueiredo | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Figueiredo | 27c | 369.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.58 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Figueiredo | 28c | 359.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Figueiredo | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7000…bf9cbacked Figueiredo | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Figueiredo | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…3b83backed Figueiredo | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Figueiredo | 30c | 338.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.61 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Figueiredo | 66c | 324.15$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Figueiredo | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Jackson | 74c | 287$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Figueiredo | 27c | 264.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.34 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Figueiredo | 47c | 230$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…c681backed Figueiredo | 44c | 228.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jackson | 73c | 226$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Figueiredo | 28c | 220$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Figueiredo | 27c | 219.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Jackson | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Figueiredo | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Figueiredo | 27c | 200$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Figueiredo | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Jackson | 73c | 199.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Figueiredo | 71c | 197$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed Figueiredo | 28c | 195.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Figueiredo | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Figueiredo | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Figueiredo | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Figueiredo | 65c | 169.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Figueiredo | 29c | 169.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Figueiredo | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Figueiredo | 41c | 166.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Figueiredo vs. Jacksonthis page
- Alekseeva vs. MesquitaMesquita won
- Almeida vs. Aswell Jr.Aswell Jr. won
- Diniz vs. PintoPinto won
- Filho vs. CarpenterFilho won
- Kowalkiewicz vs. PolastriPolastri won
- Luque vs. ÁlvarezÁlvarez won
- Oliveira vs. GamrotOliveira won
- Petersen vs. PetrinoPetrino won
- Ramos vs. OfliOfli won
- Rocha vs. NicollRocha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.