UFC · resolved market

Diniz vs. Pinto

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf9fb7b118aff573cce60a3f5b92730a304bddc27eac03e9ffc722f7c397803e

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pintoof Diniz, Pinto
Resolved: Oct 11, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $149,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $156,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,767 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Pinto	47c	86,063$40,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,869.25	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Diniz	53c	41,214$21,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,829.7	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ba…9c04backed Diniz	53c	15,294$8,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,110	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Pinto	47c	15,000$7,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,950	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Pinto	47c	12,920$6,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,839.16	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diniz	53c	11,500$6,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,120	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Diniz	54c	10,000$5,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,350	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Diniz	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,299.99	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Diniz	53c	6,828$3,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,616.44	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Pinto	46c	4,370$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,359.91	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Diniz	54c	3,991$2,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,155	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Diniz	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Diniz	54c	2,838$1,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.72	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Diniz	53c	2,500$1,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,316.95	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Diniz	13c	2,498$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.23	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Diniz	54c	2,222$1,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,191	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diniz	54c	2,048$1,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,103.93	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pinto	46c	2,000$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079.97	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Pinto	47c	1,884$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.53	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	58cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Diniz	53c	1,883$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Diniz	54c	1,763$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.26	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Pinto	47c	1,670$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.1	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Diniz	53c	1,400$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.99	137	35.8%49 W · 88 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Pinto	71c	1,364$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.07	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Diniz	54c	1,294$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.5	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Diniz	54c	1,283$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.9wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Diniz	54c	1,069$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.52	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Diniz	53c	967$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.51	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed Diniz	55c	901.27$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Pinto	60c	800$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.31	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Diniz	54c	708.54$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.61	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Diniz	4c	699.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	223	34.1%76 W · 147 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Diniz	53c	692.22$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.88	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Diniz	54c	665.93$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.6	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Pinto	47c	645.31$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.49	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7000…bf9cbacked Pinto	47c	634.21$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.13	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Diniz	54c	600$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pinto	47c	512$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.36	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Diniz	54c	500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Diniz	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Diniz	54c	457.41$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Diniz	53c	450$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Diniz	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Diniz	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Pinto	47c	370$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.1	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Diniz	55c	365.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda45…b320backed Diniz	54c	361.11$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Pinto	47c	346.81$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.81	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Pinto	46c	344$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.2	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…f1c9backed Pinto	70c	314.76$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.18	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+29%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Pinto	46c	299.98$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.99	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Diniz	51c	279.97$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.78	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Diniz	54c	270.31$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.04	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Pinto	47c	260$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.8	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb37f…6d0ebacked Pinto	48c	258.33$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.33	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54f…6b4dbacked Pinto	47c	254.51$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.51	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Pinto	47c	233.17$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.17	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Diniz	9c	222$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x291b…0cbcbacked Diniz	32c	216.29$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+81.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Diniz	53c	213.29$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Pinto	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Pinto	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	134	50%67 W · 67 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8b…2183backed Pinto	46c	208.7$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.7	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	34cpaid	+114.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Diniz	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	139	40.3%56 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Diniz	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Pinto	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Diniz	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e3…af5cbacked Diniz	52c	190.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Diniz	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad4…ff91backed Diniz	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pinto	47c	173.26$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.83	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Diniz	54c	165.52$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.38	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Pinto	65c	162.12$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.59	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfabf…c681backed Pinto	62c	151.02$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.02	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+97.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Diniz	53c	147.96$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.42	264	51.9%137 W · 127 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Diniz	54c	139.98$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.09	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Diniz	54c	138.89$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Pinto	49c	134.69$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.69	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Diniz	55c	107.92$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.22	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Pinto	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2853…3482backed Diniz	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.42per pick	42cpaid	+94.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x929c…8cb6backed Pinto	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	111	52.3%58 W · 53 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Pinto	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.32	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a9…fe7bbacked Diniz	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Pinto	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Diniz	52c	99.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…3ef2backed Diniz	56c	97.21$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Diniz	53c	94.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.2	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Diniz	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Diniz	13c	89.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Pinto	48c	83.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Diniz	19c	82$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.81	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Diniz	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41e…eca9backed Diniz	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde5…a569backed Pinto	47c	70$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.1	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf954…0517backed Pinto	49c	69.39$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.39	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1247…9ce9backed Pinto	47c	68.65$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.38	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Pinto	49c	68.14$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+96.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe795…e6debacked Pinto	46c	67.39$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.39	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Pinto	46c	65.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Diniz vs. Pintothis page
Alekseeva vs. MesquitaMesquita won
Almeida vs. Aswell Jr.Aswell Jr. won
Figueiredo vs. JacksonFigueiredo won
Filho vs. CarpenterFilho won
Kowalkiewicz vs. PolastriPolastri won
Luque vs. ÁlvarezÁlvarez won
Oliveira vs. GamrotOliveira won
Petersen vs. PetrinoPetrino won
Ramos vs. OfliOfli won
Rocha vs. NicollRocha won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Diniz vs. Pinto

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event