UFC · resolved market
Oliveira vs. Gamrot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c36ba1850810c98b46e2d5eb14fbd1d30a148e120dc47f0c379922c4d437379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliveiraof Oliveira, Gamrot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,057,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,136,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,057,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Gamrot | 51c | 151,685$76,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,760.09 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…ded0backed Gamrot | 51c | 116,569$59,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,860.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oliveira | 49c | 111,960$54,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,275.75 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Gamrot | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Gamrot | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,999.8 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Oliveira | 49c | 93,242$46,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,217.63 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Oliveira | 49c | 57,772$28,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,503.69 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4d…b7e1backed Gamrot | 52c | 56,720$29,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,452.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Oliveira | 49c | 51,990$25,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,335.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Oliveira | 50c | 50,000$24,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,006.37 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Gamrot | 51c | 44,302$22,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,594.24 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Gamrot | 51c | 44,000$22,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,440 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Oliveira | 50c | 30,000$14,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,089.14 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Oliveira | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…cf87backed Gamrot | 52c | 28,626$14,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,880.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Gamrot | 53c | 26,470$13,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,993.39 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Gamrot | 51c | 24,173$12,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,328.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Oliveira | 48c | 17,938$8,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,327.76 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Oliveira | 50c | 16,046$8,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,023 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Oliveira | 48c | 15,550$7,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Oliveira | 48c | 15,090$7,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,852.55 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Gamrot | 48c | 13,500$6,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,420.02 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Oliveira | 49c | 12,800$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,528 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oliveira | 48c | 11,500$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Oliveira | 48c | 11,447$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,002.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Gamrot | 51c | 11,194$5,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,708.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Oliveira | 54c | 10,890$5,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.3 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Oliveira | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Oliveira | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1499…4effbacked Gamrot | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oliveira | 48c | 9,996$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.22 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf65backed Gamrot | 52c | 9,606$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…0aaabacked Oliveira | 49c | 9,029$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…139ebacked Gamrot | 36c | 9,022$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Gamrot | 51c | 7,839$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.99 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Oliveira | 48c | 7,832$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.17 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Gamrot | 50c | 7,750$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.02 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Oliveira | 48c | 7,391$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.31 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked Oliveira | 49c | 6,123$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Oliveira | 49c | 5,628$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.09 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Oliveira | 49c | 5,115$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Oliveira | 50c | 4,940$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Oliveira | 47c | 4,940$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.9 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Oliveira | 48c | 4,882$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.9 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Oliveira | 55c | 4,601$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.55 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Oliveira | 48c | 4,583$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.33 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…9c04backed Gamrot | 51c | 4,560$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Oliveira | 49c | 4,357$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.59 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f422backed Oliveira | 50c | 4,251$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Oliveira | 50c | 4,179$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…7a21backed Oliveira | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Oliveira | 50c | 3,997$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…2652backed Gamrot | 52c | 3,950$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Oliveira | 50c | 3,050$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Oliveira | 50c | 3,039$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.43 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…0cbcbacked Gamrot | 51c | 3,019$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Oliveira | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…b2f9backed Oliveira | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Gamrot | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Oliveira | 71c | 3,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Oliveira | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Gamrot | 1c | 2,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Oliveira | 47c | 2,992$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.72 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Gamrot | 37c | 2,691$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.08 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oliveira | 48c | 2,650$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.9 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Oliveira | 49c | 2,573$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Oliveira | 48c | 2,306$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.02 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Oliveira | 49c | 2,194$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Oliveira | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Oliveira | 49c | 2,049$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.29 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…88c1backed Oliveira | 48c | 2,047$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.53 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Oliveira | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Oliveira | 50c | 2,012$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.24 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Gamrot | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Gamrot | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Oliveira | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Oliveira | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Oliveira | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…d028backed Oliveira | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Gamrot | 51c | 1,988$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…99c4backed Oliveira | 50c | 1,930$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…b9d1backed Oliveira | 48c | 1,913$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Oliveira | 50c | 1,895$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.39 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed Oliveira | 48c | 1,883$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b82cbacked Gamrot | 51c | 1,850$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.62 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…039cbacked Oliveira | 48c | 1,823$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Oliveira | 50c | 1,812$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Oliveira | 48c | 1,800$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Oliveira | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…6f69backed Oliveira | 50c | 1,737$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Oliveira | 50c | 1,446$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Oliveira | 48c | 1,365$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.24 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed Oliveira | 50c | 1,324$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Oliveira | 64c | 1,238$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Oliveira | 49c | 1,227$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Oliveira | 49c | 1,214$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.29 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Oliveira | 50c | 1,208$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…b320backed Oliveira | 49c | 1,119$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Oliveira | 49c | 1,110$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Oliveira | 48c | 1,078$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.97 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oliveira vs. Gamrotthis page
- Alekseeva vs. MesquitaMesquita won
- Almeida vs. Aswell Jr.Aswell Jr. won
- Diniz vs. PintoPinto won
- Figueiredo vs. JacksonFigueiredo won
- Filho vs. CarpenterFilho won
- Kowalkiewicz vs. PolastriPolastri won
- Luque vs. ÁlvarezÁlvarez won
- Petersen vs. PetrinoPetrino won
- Ramos vs. OfliOfli won
- Rocha vs. NicollRocha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.