TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f9b…d771

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST5626.8%15 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.62
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45.74
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+189.2%+$49.66
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.15
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$39.1
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Spread: Rams (-13.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35.42
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$32.09
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+488.2%+$73.24
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$43.4
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+651.2%+$87.32
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12
49ers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Chargers vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.6
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.65
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$38.04
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.98
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$45.01
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$28.67
Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+244.8%+$99.4
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.4
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+291.1%+$52.1
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+179.1%+$121.1
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+308.7%+$128.4
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+261.1%+$78.33
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$50.31
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.21
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.11
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$15.12
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maddalena Parlay - Maddalena Wins by KO, TKO, or DQ & Over 1.5 Roundsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Trump attend UFC 322?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$135.75
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$28
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$37
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$37.2
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23.94
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Pennington vs. Gomesbacked Pennington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Figueiredo vs. Jacksonbacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$140.45
Rocha vs. Nicollbacked Nicoll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Kowalkiewicz vs. Polastribacked Kowalkiewicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$84
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.43
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Emmett vs. Zalalbacked Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.98
Magomedov vs. Pyferbacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Walker vs. Hardybacked Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Vagabov vs. da Silvabacked da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-42.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.23
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+138.7%+$23.24
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$43.36
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.4
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.4
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$102.78
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.88
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.64
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.57
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick17cpaid+96.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-59.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$258.34
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+270.4%+$247.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+217.5%+$123.3
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$47.91
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+222.6%+$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: France Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.