TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Magomedov vs. Pyfer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pyferof Magomedov, Pyfer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b15…9b08backed Magomedov56c38,397$21,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,614.3929151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Magomedov34c35,462$12,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,046.653525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Magomedov31c34,756$10,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,843.5435253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Pyfer66c32,193$21,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,945.625775.4%43 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Pyfer66c28,564$18,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,711.882759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Magomedov34c27,362$9,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,303.0719544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Pyfer42c21,694$9,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5723751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Pyfer69c18,000$12,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,580.737656.6%43 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Pyfer66c13,512$8,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,593.9222259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Pyfer67c11,396$7,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.6813039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Magomedov34c11,309$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.066451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb277…0aaabacked Magomedov34c11,011$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,743.831735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pyfer55c10,480$5,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,713.5920139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Pyfer69c8,725$5,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.175955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Magomedov23c7,643$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.225950.8%30 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Pyfer65c6,386$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.5112262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Pyfer66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9913453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Magomedov32c5,312$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.8330964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Pyfer65c5,264$3,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.514857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pyfer66c5,000$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.9511746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2876…c4b2backed Magomedov35c4,750$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Magomedov19c4,169$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.3410447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a7…530ebacked Magomedov44c3,923$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Magomedov34c3,850$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30935826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Pyfer69c3,623$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.193342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Pyfer67c3,007$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.464946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Pyfer68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9608256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pyfer45c2,585$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.288840.9%36 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Magomedov33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8256746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Pyfer47c2,402$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.95435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Pyfer43c2,345$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.5353956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Magomedov34c2,232$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.974953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Magomedov45c2,219$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Magomedov23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4605253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Pyfer68c1,875$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60031855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pyfer67c1,853$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6433253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pyfer64c1,850$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.8614530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Pyfer67c1,800$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59139959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Pyfer68c1,736$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.413959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Magomedov40c1,500$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6058348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5b…9164backed Pyfer68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Magomedov35c1,486$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.113450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Magomedov34c1,481$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b6…2d92backed Magomedov35c1,417$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009241.3%38 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pyfer65c1,267$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.0542042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Pyfer66c1,231$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.443661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Pyfer50c1,141$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.616955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Pyfer68c1,106$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.746937.7%26 W · 43 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Pyfer51c1,038$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.737754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Pyfer56c1,038$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.310045%45 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Pyfer64c1,000$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3658939.3%35 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Magomedov33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33017850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magomedov33c935$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5537152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Pyfer54c928.99$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.3420249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pyfer68c922$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.0418560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b5…e04fbacked Pyfer66c899.99$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Magomedov34c876.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Pyfer37c867.61$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.6322334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0a…4fe1backed Pyfer68c770$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.45100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee3…a036backed Pyfer67c761.19$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pyfer66c751.52$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5221044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Pyfer68c747.06$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.064665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Pyfer40c738.55$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.383652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Magomedov41c729.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Pyfer67c644.94$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8329848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Magomedov32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Pyfer66c615.68$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3312055.8%67 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Magomedov32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921520%3 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Pyfer66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20411140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd14f…186ebacked Pyfer68c580$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…ba94backed Magomedov29c552.94$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Magomedov32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608655.8%48 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Pyfer58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21023850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Magomedov33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16523537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Magomedov34c484.26$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6532545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Magomedov32c450$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.510651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Pyfer61c449.98$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4913160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Magomedov35c445$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.757451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Pyfer66c435$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Pyfer67c429$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.575362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Magomedov32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked Pyfer61c316$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.191241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Magomedov34c305.88$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Magomedov33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Magomedov34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10216543.6%72 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Pyfer67c299.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9914144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Magomedov34c298.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6613044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Pyfer68c295.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.062055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfee…64bbbacked Magomedov34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006040%24 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b0…2368backed Magomedov35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Magomedov34c282.32$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9951533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Pyfer54c260.22$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.77545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1e…2e41backed Magomedov35c254.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Magomedov34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a7…8f05backed Magomedov34c233.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Pyfer68c220$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.43275%24 W · 8 L+9.5wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+84.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Pyfer68c219.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.381533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-45.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Magomedov34c204.07$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6915848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Magomedov33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Magomedov33c199.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9948749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.