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UFC · resolved market

Santos vs. Yoo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Santosof Santos, Yoo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$318,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$324,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Santos57c62,873$35,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,264.9335253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Santos57c41,604$23,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,823.546850%34 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yoo43c40,000$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,2001050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Santos57c32,600$18,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,136.9114857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Santos56c23,895$13,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,513.619154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Yoo43c18,114$7,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,788.522259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Yoo41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1502759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Santos58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.994744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Santos57c13,878$7,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,015.3811746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Yoo42c13,745$5,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7878940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yoo43c10,418$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.713525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yoo42c9,364$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,906.886451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yoo42c7,255$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,047.012548%12 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2876…c4b2backed Yoo44c7,030$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.011838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Santos58c6,734$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.461877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+70.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Yoo46c5,313$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.4130964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yoo41c5,134$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.620249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Santos57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.9930039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yoo40c4,987$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.3220139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yoo42c3,772$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.466746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yoo44c3,560$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.45141.2%21 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yoo19c3,470$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.321247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Santos56c3,121$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.5613453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yoo43c2,610$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.514530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Santos50c2,565$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Yoo43c2,330$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.0716951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Yoo43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Yoo43c2,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9898256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Santos57c2,067$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb1…830cbacked Yoo44c2,018$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yoo44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88017045.9%78 W · 92 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc6c…2912backed Santos59c1,855$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d32…f9a8backed Yoo49c1,753$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Santos54c1,700$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.9112262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yoo50c1,680$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.153748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yoo42c1,640$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.824337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yoo43c1,500$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64339959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yoo44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66037152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yoo44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66016247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yoo43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.995435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yoo44c1,402$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.8818453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yoo40c1,313$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.233253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Yoo46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55217850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4571…e018backed Yoo42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Yoo42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c7…bb17backed Yoo43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yoo44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yoo43c1,050$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yoo42c1,029$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.317841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Yoo42c1,017$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Yoo38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x650a…6eb2backed Yoo42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Yoo42c976.05$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.4211140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddce…6c35backed Yoo61c947.39$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.91540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yoo43c885$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.5542042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Santos46c842.74$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.878840.9%36 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yoo43c800$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34236755.3%203 W · 164 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yoo43c768.28$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.363342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe910…0ecdbacked Yoo43c758.14$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Yoo52c698.46$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.229151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yoo44c687.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030049%147 W · 153 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yoo40c666$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.423850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea4…7980backed Yoo42c573.57$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7650%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yoo56c555$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.313041.5%54 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Yoo48c550$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Santos57c543.85$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.861040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Yoo44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Yoo41c499.51$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9910045%45 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yoo43c491.39$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.66043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Santos57c482.69$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.696462.5%40 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07b…c247backed Yoo43c472.56$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yoo43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef7…c9f4backed Yoo44c459.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yoo44c458.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3222853.1%121 W · 107 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yoo44c452.62$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1996937.7%26 W · 43 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yoo44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54eb…0371backed Yoo45c443.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yoo61c435.99$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5518145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6579…23ddbacked Yoo41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Santos56c369.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.956450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yoo44c363.64$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aad…4e00backed Yoo44c356.82$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Santos57c354$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2218560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yoo43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Yoo42c348.1$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2222342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…e20dbacked Yoo43c346.51$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yoo44c344.56$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7735539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Santos59c338.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.44746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Santos40c320.12$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4810447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6f…740abacked Yoo44c318.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Yoo40c314.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.928939.3%35 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yoo43c308.38$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13318644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yoo62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1866650%33 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed Santos38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1862100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick32cpaid+231.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yoo41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Yoo42c299.81$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4216543.6%72 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Yoo59c296.69$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0537854.8%207 W · 171 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Yoo42c290$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.76944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yoo44c286.45$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0451533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…ba94backed Santos50c280.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.521233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.