UFC · resolved market

Santos vs. Chiasson

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff0524a23096d676986fd63fb7e5c2ecf9aa26d4de15e1fbfbc7a5638a95821b

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Santosof Santos, Chiasson
Resolved: Oct 4, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $109,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,728 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Chiasson	65c	26,963$17,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,595.46	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Chiasson	66c	15,000$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,900	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Chiasson	64c	15,000$9,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,589.98	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Santos	55c	12,539$6,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,665.46	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Santos	34c	11,640$3,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,682.4	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Santos	36c	9,960$3,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,374.4	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Santos	34c	8,903$3,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,876	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Santos	34c	7,308$2,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,846.03	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Santos	34c	6,436$2,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,247.73	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Santos	34c	5,548$1,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,667.49	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Chiasson	17c	3,740$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.8	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Chiasson	66c	3,583$2,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,364.5	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.9wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Santos	37c	2,824$1,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,779.32	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chiasson	19c	2,554$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.15	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Santos	35c	2,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Chiasson	66c	1,991$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Santos	34c	1,946$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,284.79	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-4.8wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Santos	34c	1,915$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.77	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5b…9164backed Chiasson	66c	1,567$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,033.93	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Chiasson	66c	1,506$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.7	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Santos	34c	1,371$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.97	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Chiasson	68c	1,326$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Santos	34c	1,236$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.19	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Chiasson	6c	1,216$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.97	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Chiasson	64c	1,065$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.6	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-4.9wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Santos	37c	1,037$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.73	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Santos	33c	999.99$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.99	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Santos	73c	904$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.16	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Chiasson	65c	800$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Santos	34c	749.7$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.8	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1b…724fbacked Chiasson	67c	746.27$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	49	81.6%40 W · 9 L	+7.8wins	+0.16per pick	66cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Santos	33c	729.85$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e194backed Chiasson	66c	681.82$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Santos	33c	679.17$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.04	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Santos	34c	666$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.56	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb167…b2f9backed Chiasson	13c	654.19$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.83	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Santos	75c	636.44$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.01	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Chiasson	66c	606.06$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Santos	35c	571.43$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.43	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Chiasson	66c	500$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Santos	34c	499.99$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.99	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Santos	62c	475$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Chiasson	66c	459.77$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.19	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae3…47ccbacked Santos	76c	386.45$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.75	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Santos	35c	382.51$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.63	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Santos	35c	380$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247	134	50%67 W · 67 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Santos	35c	374.29$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.29	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a7…5049backed Santos	34c	359.43$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.73	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+109.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Santos	69c	347.48$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.53	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Santos	35c	328.57$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.57	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Chiasson	65c	299.99$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.99	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Chiasson	67c	298.51$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Santos	35c	284.72$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.72	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Chiasson	65c	278.53$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.04	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Santos	36c	277.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.78	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Chiasson	65c	250$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.5	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a7…8f05backed Santos	35c	226$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Santos	33c	207.35$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Santos	34c	200$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Chiasson	66c	200$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Chiasson	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Santos	37c	175.68$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.68	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x075f…833cbacked Chiasson	66c	156.24$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Chiasson	65c	150$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Santos	35c	147.42$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.82	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Santos	35c	145$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.25	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Santos	36c	142.8$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.98	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Chiasson	18c	137.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Chiasson	66c	113.64$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc985…1e7dbacked Chiasson	18c	103.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Chiasson	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Santos	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	167	36.5%61 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa198…106abacked Santos	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78f0…c63cbacked Chiasson	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	63cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb575…2090backed Santos	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Chiasson	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e24…51afbacked Santos	74c	94.59$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.59	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Santos	35c	94.28$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.28	168	51.8%87 W · 81 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Chiasson	67c	92.97$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.29	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Santos	36c	87.72$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.14	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cca…424ebacked Chiasson	66c	80.36$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Santos	35c	80$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Chiasson	66c	79.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	165	43.6%72 W · 93 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Chiasson	66c	77.36$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.06	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Chiasson	19c	76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	192	30.7%59 W · 133 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5916…a87cbacked Santos	77c	63.42$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.53	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	60cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Santos	34c	62.82$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.46	223	34.1%76 W · 147 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9461…a76bbacked Chiasson	68c	60.29$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Santos	34c	59.13$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.03	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Santos	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Santos	34c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	264	51.9%137 W · 127 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Chiasson	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	59	62.7%37 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Chiasson	67c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Santos	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Santos	36c	48.98$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.35	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Santos	35c	42.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.86	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked Santos	36c	40$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Chiasson	66c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa366…4c16backed Chiasson	66c	34.23$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.59	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Santos	41c	32.06$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.06	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Santos vs. Chiassonthis page
Ankalaev vs. PereiraPereira won
Dvalishvili vs. SandhagenDvalishvili won
Emmett vs. ZalalZalal won
Gutierrez vs. BasharatBasharat won
Magomedov vs. PyferPyfer won
Mix vs. WiklaczWiklacz won
Muniz vs. ShahbazyanShahbazyan won
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.Procházka won
Santos vs. YooSantos won
Soriano vs. VeretennikovSoriano won
Vanderford vs. BrahimajBrahimaj won
Walker vs. HardyHardy won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Santos vs. Chiasson

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event