NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a64e8fd4046ff97fd988e1555f57829185057813b9e0a125dd5d6ad63d34d33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raidersof Broncos, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,852,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,866,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,852,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x423e…77e9backed Broncos | 54c | 591,546$319,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319,472.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Broncos | 53c | 573,926$304,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304,180.76 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raiders | 47c | 501,212$235,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,642.11 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raiders | 49c | 279,460$137,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,751.3 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Raiders | 46c | 238,071$108,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,435.89 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Raiders | 50c | 136,135$68,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,110.62 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raiders | 46c | 99,327$45,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,391.11 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raiders | 48c | 63,236$30,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,115.06 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Broncos | 51c | 51,431$26,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,229.89 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raiders | 46c | 50,563$23,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,304.63 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Broncos | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Broncos | 50c | 44,640$22,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,320.07 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raiders | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Broncos | 51c | 38,725$19,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,749.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Broncos | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed Broncos | 51c | 26,000$13,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Broncos | 51c | 24,701$12,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,597.41 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Broncos | 51c | 23,529$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Raiders | 49c | 22,380$11,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,304.9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Broncos | 50c | 20,381$10,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,192.19 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Raiders | 49c | 19,472$9,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,891.66 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raiders | 50c | 19,425$9,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,712.33 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Broncos | 51c | 17,678$9,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,015.75 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Raiders | 47c | 17,500$8,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,275 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Raiders | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Raiders | 49c | 14,061$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,171.16 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Broncos | 40c | 12,341$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.85 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Broncos | 50c | 10,723$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.85 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Broncos | 52c | 10,390$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.58 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Raiders | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Broncos | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raiders | 47c | 8,004$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.96 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Broncos | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Broncos | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Broncos | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Broncos | 49c | 6,520$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.74 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Broncos | 51c | 6,000$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raiders | 46c | 5,158$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.53 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Broncos | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raiders | 46c | 4,718$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.93 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raiders | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Broncos | 51c | 3,882$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Broncos | 52c | 3,654$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos | 50c | 3,476$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.96 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Raiders | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raiders | 47c | 2,977$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.02 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Broncos | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Broncos | 51c | 2,939$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.45 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raiders | 47c | 2,712$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.18 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raiders | 47c | 2,252$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.72 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Raiders | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Broncos | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Broncos | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Broncos | 51c | 1,965$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Raiders | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Broncos | 51c | 1,371$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raiders | 46c | 1,367$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.8 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Broncos | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…3eeebacked Broncos | 51c | 1,137$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Raiders | 46c | 1,085$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.85 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Raiders | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Broncos | 50c | 1,038$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.3 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Broncos | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raiders | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Raiders | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Broncos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Broncos | 51c | 997.94$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.95 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Broncos | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Broncos | 53c | 945.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Raiders | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Raiders | 48c | 806.25$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.25 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Raiders | 50c | 804$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Raiders | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…de36backed Broncos | 51c | 764.71$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Broncos | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Raiders | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Broncos | 50c | 598.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Raiders | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Raiders | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Broncos | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Raiders | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Broncos | 51c | 431.71$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Broncos | 50c | 429.06$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Broncos | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Raiders | 47c | 400$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Raiders | 47c | 400$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed Broncos | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Raiders | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Raiders | 50c | 394$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Broncos | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Broncos | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Raiders | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Raiders | 50c | 313.87$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Broncos | 44c | 304.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Raiders | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Raiders | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Raiders | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…3339backed Broncos | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Broncos | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Broncos | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Raiders won
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Raiders won
- Raiders vs. BroncosBroncos won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-10.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Broncos (-9.5)Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.