NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20502ef93c7e425f84cbaff1e01cdc5b097df04ab2bef503c3df0baff9cb79a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raidersof Broncos, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $794,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $794,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Broncos | 49c | 582,210$285,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285,283.05 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Raiders | 51c | 500,541$255,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245,264.9 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Broncos | 49c | 96,005$46,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,853.73 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raiders | 51c | 78,806$40,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,615.5 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Raiders | 52c | 56,678$29,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,038.85 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Raiders | 51c | 40,454$20,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,822.34 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Raiders | 51c | 36,848$18,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,907.92 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Raiders | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Broncos | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Broncos | 47c | 14,990$7,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,045.29 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Broncos | 50c | 12,796$6,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,392.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Broncos | 47c | 11,672$5,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.89 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Broncos | 48c | 8,200$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Raiders | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.77 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Raiders | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Raiders | 51c | 4,452$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.36 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Broncos | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Broncos | 47c | 3,499$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.55 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Raiders | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raiders | 51c | 2,942$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Raiders | 52c | 2,130$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Raiders | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Broncos | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Broncos | 50c | 1,735$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.83 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Raiders | 51c | 1,483$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.97 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Broncos | 48c | 1,394$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.59 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Broncos | 48c | 1,210$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.19 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ae…84cebacked Raiders | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Raiders | 50c | 1,152$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.1 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Broncos | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Broncos | 48c | 1,009$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.15 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Broncos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Broncos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Broncos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Raiders | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Broncos | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Broncos | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Broncos | 49c | 857.14$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Raiders | 51c | 790$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.1 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Raiders | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31cd…cecabacked Broncos | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Broncos | 48c | 546.88$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Broncos | 49c | 445.17$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Raiders | 53c | 442$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.74 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Raiders | 52c | 417.31$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Raiders | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…3d3ebacked Raiders | 52c | 370.33$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Broncos | 49c | 308.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Raiders | 52c | 307.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Broncos | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…f27abacked Broncos | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raiders | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Broncos | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Broncos | 49c | 228.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Broncos | 50c | 218.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Raiders | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Broncos | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Raiders | 52c | 202.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Broncos | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Raiders | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Broncos | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Raiders | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Broncos | 49c | 192.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953d…c08fbacked Broncos | 49c | 191.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Raiders | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…1e92backed Raiders | 51c | 175$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…9e11backed Broncos | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Broncos | 48c | 163.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcf…2a46backed Broncos | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…31a4backed Raiders | 53c | 140.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Raiders | 51c | 125.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Broncos | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Broncos | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Broncos | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Broncos | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…8923backed Broncos | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Broncos | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Raiders | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…b62ebacked Raiders | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Broncos | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Broncos | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6269…327cbacked Broncos | 49c | 72.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Raiders | 51c | 70.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Broncos | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Raiders | 53c | 56.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…8de1backed Raiders | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…0355backed Raiders | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Raiders | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…9dadbacked Broncos | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Raiders | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Broncos | 48c | 47.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Broncos | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…dda0backed Broncos | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Raiders | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Raiders | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Raiders | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Raiders | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Raiders | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Raiders | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Raiders won
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Raiders won
- Raiders vs. BroncosBroncos won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-10.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Broncos (-8.5)Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.