TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Rockets, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,068,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,144,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,068,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed Spurs68c92,321$62,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,849.7647448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Rockets28c67,949$19,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,025.735646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Rockets47c56,518$26,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,444.0319249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Spurs69c44,585$30,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,864.5647144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs41c43,010$17,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,189.6485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs56c35,827$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,827.3534062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3987…259ebacked Spurs39c31,316$12,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,102.818022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Spurs43c23,707$10,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,513.187339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs42c22,119$9,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,925.7496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Rockets59c20,470$11,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,996.346665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Spurs39c20,000$7,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,185.2512334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Rockets60c18,292$10,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,926.7136148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockets60c14,413$8,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,672.1969852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets60c13,658$8,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,148.092,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets61c13,297$8,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,111.3447848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Rockets62c10,828$6,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6796155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Spurs41c10,821$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,430.699445.7%43 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets41c10,208$4,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,207.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockets60c9,119$5,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,471.1646342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Rockets28c8,985$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.0726038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets59c8,828$5,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,180.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Rockets61c8,180$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9909838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Spurs41c8,000$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7206636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets55c7,866$4,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,311.2574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Rockets53c7,720$4,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,092714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick58cpaid-79.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Spurs40c7,709$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,625.257745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Rockets59c7,500$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.4378445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets60c7,200$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3202,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fdd…5feabacked Rockets38c6,594$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Spurs38c6,237$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,867.031241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Rockets57c6,140$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4938251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rockets57c5,771$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.352,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rockets58c5,569$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.2744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Spurs45c5,350$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.511,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockets29c5,003$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.1781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockets60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Spurs40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Spurs40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00016446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9782442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb933…18d5backed Rockets62c4,860$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c0…01f3backed Spurs39c4,860$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.62544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Spurs39c4,661$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.2120253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Rockets58c4,659$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.142352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Rockets60c4,044$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.5431347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Rockets50c4,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Spurs40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9918142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Rockets36c3,874$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.7427917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Spurs62c3,552$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.5585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb515…f7f9backed Rockets58c3,500$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Rockets59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.9647748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Spurs41c3,350$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.3110235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets37c3,193$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.061,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Spurs74c3,105$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.8419388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs39c3,050$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Rockets73c3,008$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.3415274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Rockets60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Spurs43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7105848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs72c2,756$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.791,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Spurs39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Spurs40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7591…9829backed Spurs39c2,307$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.984544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Spurs42c2,253$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.812,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Spurs39c2,200$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.9861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Rockets22c2,177$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.5111344.2%50 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs67c2,092$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.233,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d35…935ebacked Spurs43c2,081$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Rockets61c2,065$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9134852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f09…70f0backed Rockets59c2,056$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Spurs39c2,038$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2434553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…d708backed Spurs43c2,037$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5f…1274backed Rockets59c2,029$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Rockets60c2,027$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.222250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf63…800abacked Rockets59c2,020$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockets60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Spurs39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2203333.3%11 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Spurs24c2,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5252445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Spurs39c2,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.9875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e08…e6f5backed Rockets59c1,978$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d3…d822backed Spurs43c1,970$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8538…cdc7backed Spurs43c1,958$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe89c…e602backed Spurs43c1,953$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Spurs41c1,951$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.229652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d5…6d4ebacked Rockets59c1,934$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee2e…f422backed Rockets61c1,888$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.664259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Spurs42c1,800$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04423644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Spurs54c1,785$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.8329458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Rockets58c1,756$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.9416749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Spurs74c1,725$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3838151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd76e…225bbacked Spurs57c1,705$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spurs44c1,691$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.0570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e58…f73bbacked Rockets52c1,650$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8585740.4%23 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c1b…5084backed Spurs46c1,528$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Spurs40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90019441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Spurs48c1,500$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.1217141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs41c1,400$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82616633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Rockets60c1,300$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7807261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Rockets61c1,290$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.914161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Spurs39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0511146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rockets60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72014358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfadc…472ebacked Spurs42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6962777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.