TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Ravens vs. Dolphins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ravensof Ravens, Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,250,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,530,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,250,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Dolphins22c625,319$137,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,570.138344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins14c357,297$50,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,202.6930043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Ravens78c241,640$188,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,160.8717454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Ravens79c214,264$168,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,697.6533553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Dolphins22c200,000$43,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,749.9810333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked Dolphins13c198,686$25,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,829.1350%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Dolphins21c197,225$41,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,470.257035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Dolphins22c150,226$33,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,049.6917041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dolphins21c149,998$31,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,499.6512144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Ravens78c110,993$86,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,319.6324456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Dolphins22c104,555$23,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,002.1219553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Dolphins14c94,386$13,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,214.073135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Dolphins22c90,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,80013843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c7c…128cbacked Dolphins22c78,148$17,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,192.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe14…11eebacked Ravens78c76,809$59,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,898.071283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Ravens78c73,570$57,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,921.1220755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ravens79c51,040$40,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,955.9825956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Ravens78c50,979$40,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,968.785453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Dolphins22c50,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dolphins21c50,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.9614342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Ravens78c42,680$33,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,322.944652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…5577backed Dolphins6c39,965$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Ravens78c35,653$27,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,840.6631350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Dolphins22c35,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,699.9916545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Dolphins20c32,478$6,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,391.841827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Ravens78c29,148$22,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,412.562133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Ravens78c22,000$17,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8403979.5%31 W · 8 L+7.2wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Ravens78c20,740$16,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,562.7261148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Ravens78c20,729$16,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,554.441248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Dolphins21c20,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.91425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Ravens78c19,580$15,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,272.614951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ravens78c19,410$15,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,270.2624056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Ravens78c17,804$13,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.8511168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Dolphins22c16,832$3,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70313142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Ravens78c15,689$12,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.966339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Dolphins22c15,600$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4322638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Dolphins22c15,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3001618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Ravens78c15,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Dolphins22c14,923$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.065837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Ravens78c14,084$10,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.4810650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Ravens78c13,169$10,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.8586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Dolphins7c12,326$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.0613435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Ravens78c12,100$9,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6626550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4b…002bbacked Dolphins22c11,158$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…3b5abacked Dolphins21c10,928$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb672…e4e3backed Dolphins25c10,815$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Ravens79c10,778$8,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.49359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Dolphins22c10,355$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.778532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Ravens78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20024957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Dolphins21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.974422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Ravens78c9,218$7,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.952638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Dolphins22c9,091$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ravens78c9,000$7,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…e0e1backed Dolphins23c8,894$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.391136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Dolphins22c8,783$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.218343.4%36 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Dolphins1c8,253$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Dolphins18c8,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Dolphins12c7,907$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.3212138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Ravens78c7,833$6,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.196549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Ravens77c7,800$6,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.995246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Ravens79c7,650$6,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.66965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Ravens78c7,500$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65020646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e85…bb56backed Ravens78c7,119$5,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.091070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+58.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Dolphins1c6,843$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.51486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7079…e9afbacked Dolphins22c6,607$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa1…26a3backed Ravens79c6,500$5,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72b…56b0backed Dolphins22c6,500$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Ravens78c6,389$4,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.5214154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Dolphins23c6,335$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.2116836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Ravens79c6,241$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.51520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2cc…37c3backed Dolphins22c6,236$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Ravens77c6,208$4,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.4724351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dolphins10c6,062$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9220026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Dolphins22c6,028$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.195527.3%15 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf719…c6c6backed Ravens79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a9…69e7backed Dolphins22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3a…9ec0backed Ravens78c5,925$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.561450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ravens78c5,805$4,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.0531854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad56…93dabacked Ravens79c5,500$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf72c…33e7backed Dolphins22c5,500$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Dolphins2c5,346$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.151969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Ravens78c5,307$4,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.614757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Dolphins21c5,154$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.3631240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Dolphins22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10012550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb528…5039backed Ravens78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Ravens78c4,916$3,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.434852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc7…6048backed Ravens78c4,827$3,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Ravens78c4,700$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.0711254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ravens78c4,583$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.331,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ravens79c4,530$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.571,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Ravens78c4,365$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.2532050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Dolphins17c4,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75016737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…92ccbacked Dolphins21c4,263$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.164341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc48…7294backed Dolphins21c4,239$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Ravens77c4,170$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0131848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c9…5d53backed Dolphins22c4,050$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Ravens78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Ravens80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Ravens79c3,895$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.9313145.8%60 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadc…472ebacked Ravens78c3,842$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.191457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.