TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Ravens vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$319,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$320,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c219,498$106,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,568.9786547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over51c70,000$35,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,799.9831240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Over52c64,673$33,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,375.522950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under49c36,668$17,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,723.9524957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Over51c25,930$13,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,224.3313843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over51c22,557$11,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,504.125956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Over51c12,475$6,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,362.2561148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Over51c10,644$5,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,458.631350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under48c10,543$5,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,487.4835848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over51c10,357$5,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,281.8447738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1007042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c9,963$5,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,080.981,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c7,500$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,82583147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Over51c6,710$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.7533553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Over52c6,536$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.7244652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c6,000$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.9951352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Over50c5,254$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.6841947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over51c3,382$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.981,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Over52c2,307$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.611740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04018044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0408856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over51c1,630$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.320661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Under49c1,582$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.6311156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c1,099$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.5523647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over55c1,037$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.6117251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5109444.7%42 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55060049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over50c882.25$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.1383447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked Over48c868.75$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4171513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked Over52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020143.3%87 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Over51c751$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.0128556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Under49c750$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.513845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Over52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36410537.1%39 W · 66 L-12.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x81b6…9c1fbacked Over52c605.19$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30626648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e8…44a0backed Over51c592$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Over52c583.8$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.887150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Over52c548.08$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over3c533.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9964747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26039242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under48c498.46$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.217348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163941%16 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Over51c408.13$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1519459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under49c408$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0816346%75 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20826857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe215…a3d9backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under48c399.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9931540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Over51c378.77$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19511744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Over52c330.77$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.58536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over51c327.15$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.858950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Over52c299.04$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.57131%22 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over8c293$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.443125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ff…8217backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over28c280$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.468446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…d58bbacked Over52c267.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Over52c246.48$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.177542.7%32 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Over51c236.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.863444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Under48c216.7$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6841248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.255345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9819638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10213347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Over52c198.08$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10323447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x387c…9188backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe930…99aebacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Over51c183.36$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6924456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91bc…8facbacked Over51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804772.3%34 W · 13 L+7.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d6…9bb1backed Under49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2791…2791backed Over49c150.88$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.43060%18 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over52c135.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.617648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17bd…7afcbacked Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f4…7942backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212945%58 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…e35dbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5124243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19c9…2e09backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017047.1%80 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb9d…b033backed Under49c97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.523447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x217e…3a4cbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5680…9305backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Over52c90.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.253951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1c…2bccbacked Over52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Over52c85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.23138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8984…8af8backed Over51c76.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.271346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2148847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over52c73.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385054%27 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.