NFL · resolved market
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d92e846a2c38314006791fd0cd120fe48fa2733acc33b58120d38850e92178b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Ravens, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,243,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,279,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,243,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Ravens | 51c | 599,218$305,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294,074.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Dolphins | 51c | 443,500$224,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224,085 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Dolphins | 49c | 314,066$153,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,874.91 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Dolphins | 49c | 298,951$145,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,790.82 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Dolphins | 50c | 268,108$134,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,053.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ravens | 51c | 263,319$133,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,412.32 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Ravens | 51c | 238,144$121,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,690.52 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dolphins | 49c | 172,035$84,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,761.64 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ravens | 51c | 123,843$63,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,717.36 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Ravens | 52c | 120,538$62,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,858.25 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Ravens | 50c | 80,000$40,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,800 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ravens | 50c | 61,939$30,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,969.5 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Dolphins | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,399.99 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Ravens | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Ravens | 51c | 40,089$20,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,643.57 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Dolphins | 49c | 32,000$15,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,680 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Dolphins | 50c | 30,000$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Ravens | 50c | 28,114$14,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000.24 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Dolphins | 49c | 27,512$13,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,501.18 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Ravens | 50c | 26,442$13,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,220.84 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Ravens | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Dolphins | 49c | 22,299$11,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,026.36 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Ravens | 50c | 20,752$10,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,376.02 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Ravens | 49c | 15,421$7,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.07 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Dolphins | 49c | 13,697$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.04 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ravens | 50c | 11,500$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Ravens | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Ravens | 50c | 9,500$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Ravens | 51c | 9,261$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.65 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dolphins | 49c | 9,000$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dolphins | 50c | 9,000$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Dolphins | 52c | 7,632$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.87 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Ravens | 51c | 6,122$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.57 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Dolphins | 49c | 5,000$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.35 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ravens | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ravens | 50c | 4,924$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.43 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Ravens | 51c | 3,648$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.31 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Dolphins | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ravens | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Ravens | 52c | 3,000$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.1 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed Ravens | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Dolphins | 50c | 2,929$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.66 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Dolphins | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Dolphins | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Ravens | 51c | 2,262$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.23 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Dolphins | 48c | 2,261$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.28 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Ravens | 50c | 2,023$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Dolphins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Ravens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Dolphins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Ravens | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Ravens | 51c | 1,910$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.9 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Dolphins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Ravens | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dolphins | 48c | 1,401$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.45 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Ravens | 48c | 1,296$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.17 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…6b98backed Ravens | 51c | 1,216$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Ravens | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Dolphins | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ravens | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.85 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Dolphins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Ravens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Dolphins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Dolphins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Dolphins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Dolphins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Ravens | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Ravens | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Ravens | 51c | 901.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.96 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Dolphins | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Dolphins | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked Ravens | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Dolphins | 51c | 789.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Ravens | 51c | 720$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Ravens | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Dolphins | 49c | 699.85$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.65 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Dolphins | 49c | 650$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Ravens | 51c | 633.03$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Dolphins | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Ravens | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Dolphins | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Ravens | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Ravens | 50c | 558.64$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.32 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Ravens | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…32b5backed Ravens | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Ravens | 51c | 550$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ravens | 38c | 526.11$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.88 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…c07fbacked Ravens | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Dolphins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Ravens | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ravens | 50c | 446$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Dolphins | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Dolphins | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Ravens | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Ravens | 51c | 386.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Ravens | 51c | 381.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.03 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Ravens | 51c | 366.42$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ee30backed Ravens | 50c | 354.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…2b89backed Dolphins | 51c | 351.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Dolphins | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Ravens won
- Ravens Team Total: O/U 30.5Under won
- Ravens vs. DolphinsRavens won
- Ravens vs. Dolphins: 1H MoneylineRavens won
- Ravens vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Dolphins: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Ravens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.