TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ravensof Ravens, Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Dolphins44c80,482$35,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,107.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked Ravens58c17,241$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Ravens56c15,874$8,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,905.8820755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dolphins42c14,355$6,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,035.4383147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dolphins43c13,828$5,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,896.871,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Ravens56c11,930$6,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.0961148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Ravens57c10,199$5,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,413.7433553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Ravens58c10,000$5,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2056045%27 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Ravens57c9,849$5,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,234.894621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Ravens56c8,591$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.1286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Dolphins44c8,181$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.5731350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Ravens56c5,043$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.3510639.6%42 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Dolphins44c3,406$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.729949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x217e…3a4cbacked Ravens57c2,400$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0432857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Ravens57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86010434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Ravens56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.714355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Ravens55c1,762$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1568446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Ravens57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.392540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Dolphins42c1,752$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.4583447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Dolphins46c1,608$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.841947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Ravens58c1,600$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67221454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Ravens58c1,461$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.7120039.5%79 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0a…c2c4backed Ravens57c1,316$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc0…1878backed Dolphins44c1,300$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Ravens56c1,211$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.9614154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7464…c4bbbacked Ravens57c1,136$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Ravens58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42030743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Ravens56c908.09$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5624456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ravens56c883.93$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.931,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Ravens57c867$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8122450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Ravens57c821.4$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.212039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Ravens57c810$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9322950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc048…8583backed Ravens56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Ravens57c789.47$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.479657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Ravens57c750$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.528556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b2…0566backed Ravens56c648.02$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.131361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Ravens56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202524%6 W · 19 L-6.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-60.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x099e…4ad4backed Ravens56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+174.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Ravens58c416$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5611946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Ravens58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16814344.1%63 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Ravens57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17219436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Dolphins43c395.35$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Ravens56c368.11$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.117749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Ravens57c351.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7241248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Ravens58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8313253%70 W · 62 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Ravens57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1293360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Ravens57c252.63$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.637751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…0a95backed Dolphins44c249.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Ravens57c244$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9215851.9%82 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a25…c24dbacked Ravens56c218.86$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.38143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Ravens56c208.62$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.792142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Ravens58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8427835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Ravens58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8426857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Ravens57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ravens56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8826648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…11d4backed Ravens56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa14e…f856backed Ravens57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…edf8backed Ravens57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Ravens57c156$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0877052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Ravens57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.59536.8%35 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd6…23f8backed Ravens57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.351560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Ravens57c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8112755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ravens51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.864747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Ravens57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.268644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Ravens56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412245.9%56 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Ravens57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Ravens53c92.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.57131%22 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Ravens58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2129059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ac…fa5ebacked Ravens58c80.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ravens54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.548847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Ravens57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.253951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Ravens56c60.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.618950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Ravens57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.515352.3%80 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Ravens56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Ravens57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.57339.7%29 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9d…94abbacked Ravens55c40.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32da…b112backed Ravens58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83974.4%29 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x23fb…e34ebacked Ravens57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c57…224bbacked Ravens57c35.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.081741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid+46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf76f…d928backed Ravens57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.052171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73b9…3ba6backed Dolphins46c34.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+64.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Ravens54c34.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163348.5%16 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29dc…75dabacked Ravens58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58cb…4b8cbacked Dolphins44c32.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa95c…dcd3backed Ravens57c31.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…fba2backed Ravens57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3914…2103backed Ravens57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.323243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc8…2feebacked Ravens57c22.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…ae84backed Ravens57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.64852.1%25 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x398a…95b7backed Ravens57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc07a…4468backed Ravens57c19.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…c9a6backed Ravens57c19.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.