TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$739,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$804,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $739,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Nets20c316,499$63,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,287.958022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Pistons80c209,972$167,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,994.318843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Pistons80c36,850$29,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3707255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets19c32,781$6,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,228.311,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Pistons80c25,000$19,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.987149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Pistons80c21,642$17,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,328.3441848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Pistons72c12,503$9,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,457.7447144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596e…7b82backed Pistons80c12,200$9,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4401656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Nets17c12,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Nets20c11,209$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.6547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pistons80c9,681$7,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.1434645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Pistons74c9,000$6,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3808038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Nets27c8,033$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.9747448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfd…063ebacked Nets19c7,300$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons80c7,259$5,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8586…8207backed Nets19c7,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pistons77c6,294$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.3426038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c1f…2289backed Nets19c6,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets16c5,849$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Nets18c5,718$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.1824330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed Nets18c5,554$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.672147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Nets19c5,302$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.169852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Pistons80c5,100$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.054553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets19c5,067$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.811,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets19c4,548$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.611,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons76c4,500$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee0…37a4backed Nets19c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons80c3,925$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.0476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Nets18c3,752$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.2895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets19c3,684$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.052,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons80c3,174$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.851,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets23c2,589$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.171,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa26b…b267backed Nets19c2,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e12…425dbacked Nets19c2,300$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.991010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-82.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pistons76c2,250$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets26c2,226$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.761,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets19c2,194$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.8696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Nets24c2,112$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.882951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed Nets19c2,100$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3991650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Pistons76c2,066$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.2129458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Nets7c2,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Nets21c2,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9717931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets19c1,400$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2661,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Nets33c1,399$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7438151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nets20c1,259$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.031,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Nets19c1,180$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2571052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets26c1,172$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.62,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Pistons80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20072647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Nets3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010533.3%35 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04cc…e699backed Nets19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3f…934dbacked Nets19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ca…5598backed Nets19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453d…2d0dbacked Nets18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1142…a9bfbacked Pistons71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Nets19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc734…c0ffbacked Nets19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac9…e9fabacked Nets19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Nets26c965.38$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets26c907.77$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd76e…225bbacked Nets19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Nets20c766.21$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.243562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets3c750$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pistons68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Nets27c744.11$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9115547.1%73 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a4…0ea6backed Nets18c706.06$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.097241.7%30 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22451037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Nets26c690$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Nets19c661$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5969929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Nets24c659.88$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7717141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6742…3855backed Nets19c650$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Nets23c620.08$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14024151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a8…feb4backed Nets32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pistons78c599.99$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…ab68backed Nets20c579.2$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.841346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Nets18c575.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5224634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c5…8463backed Nets19c574.89$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.23742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Pistons74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5417356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc557…e530backed Pistons78c536.84$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.196327%17 W · 46 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Nets20c530$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10659131.1%184 W · 407 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…e723backed Nets19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d79…4da1backed Nets19c519.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.783625%9 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons79c516.25$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.481,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Nets27c500$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13664139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Nets19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked Nets20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005225%13 W · 39 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Pistons70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nets27c426.21$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.262,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8729…9a8dbacked Nets19c411.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.211040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Nets12c406$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6613042.3%55 W · 75 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…6d26backed Pistons76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Nets19c384.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7310036%36 W · 64 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Pistons80c380$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7619845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…f90ebacked Pistons76c375$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+36.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets17c369.19$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.761,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Nets20c345.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3911129.7%33 W · 78 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nets18c341.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5430249.3%149 W · 153 L+33.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.