NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa74f71b7ad94ec51b481c84b44bc79a61bcfcf3088a5741af6bb66e1e2a1d2d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $666,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Pistons | 51c | 614,633$313,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301,255.41 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Nets | 49c | 256,142$125,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,509.58 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 49c | 160,000$78,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,400 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nets | 49c | 44,314$21,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,714.05 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nets | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Nets | 51c | 29,681$15,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,061.09 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nets | 49c | 25,988$12,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,674.4 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Pistons | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Nets | 49c | 18,000$8,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,820 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 49c | 13,508$6,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,663.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Pistons | 49c | 12,000$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,079.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Nets | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.5 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets | 49c | 10,500$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nets | 48c | 10,035$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,866.9 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nets | 49c | 6,530$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.7 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Nets | 50c | 3,627$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.5 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Nets | 51c | 2,254$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.34 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets | 49c | 2,243$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.54 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Nets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 50c | 1,539$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.62 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Nets | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nets | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.21 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons | 50c | 1,165$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.85 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Nets | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…0ca9backed Nets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 49c | 918$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Nets | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nets | 50c | 858.42$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.6 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pistons | 49c | 517$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 50c | 350.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nets | 51c | 262.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 49c | 167$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Pistons | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Pistons | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…31c8backed Nets | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Pistons | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…6c67backed Pistons | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c29…5e43backed Nets | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Nets | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Nets | 49c | 50.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Pistons | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Nets | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)this page
- Pistons vs. NetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Nets: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.