NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e03cfd63705eb210651dbd2d70fea66361c1187cd2cfcb8d1e9546f53b9d3a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Nets | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Nets | 47c | 1,493$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.83 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 53c | 1,079$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Pistons | 59c | 845.85$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Pistons | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Pistons | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Pistons | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Pistons | 56c | 152$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 56c | 106.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Pistons | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nets | 40c | 82.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Pistons | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Pistons | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…6a1dbacked Pistons | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Pistons | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…a0b8backed Pistons | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Pistons | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Nets | 40c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Pistons | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…c19fbacked Pistons | 60c | 25.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…fe7ebacked Pistons | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Pistons | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…f5dabacked Pistons | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d4…7120backed Pistons | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…1365backed Pistons | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)this page
- Pistons vs. NetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Nets: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.