NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e4a22239a3d12c37069332763de04bdffd90d25a17a71e0b825833803124798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Broncos, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,063,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,337,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,063,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,034 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Texans | 54c | 823,464$444,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444,670.48 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Broncos | 46c | 802,882$367,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435,058.3 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Broncos | 48c | 394,906$190,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,744.5 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Broncos | 46c | 312,060$144,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,612.46 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texans | 54c | 123,339$66,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,406.98 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Texans | 54c | 117,490$63,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,981.81 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Broncos | 49c | 96,500$46,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,529.55 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Texans | 55c | 95,289$52,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,408.96 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texans | 53c | 90,064$47,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,926.2 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Broncos | 40c | 62,932$25,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,770.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 55c | 61,500$33,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,825 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Broncos | 44c | 53,083$23,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,499.57 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Texans | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,499.98 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Broncos | 45c | 50,000$22,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,349.87 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texans | 56c | 46,000$25,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,760 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Texans | 54c | 45,232$24,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,535.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texans | 28c | 44,513$12,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,603.56 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Broncos | 45c | 39,762$17,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,869.32 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Texans | 38c | 38,662$14,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,667.37 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Broncos | 77c | 36,972$28,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,438.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Texans | 54c | 35,849$19,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,181.55 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Texans | 55c | 35,435$19,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,611.37 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Texans | 48c | 34,567$16,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,667.21 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Broncos | 45c | 33,242$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,241.6 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texans | 39c | 32,720$12,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,908.14 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texans | 55c | 30,502$16,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,713.43 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Broncos | 47c | 30,064$14,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,030.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Texans | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.89 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Texans | 46c | 23,876$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Texans | 53c | 21,262$11,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,373.75 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Texans | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Texans | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Broncos | 45c | 19,918$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,040.66 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Texans | 54c | 18,373$9,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,974.16 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Broncos | 49c | 14,504$7,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,431.92 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texans | 54c | 14,200$7,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,668 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…a902backed Broncos | 46c | 14,130$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,630.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5592backed Broncos | 47c | 14,008$6,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,424.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Texans | 51c | 12,676$6,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,465.89 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Texans | 55c | 12,133$6,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,673 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Texans | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Texans | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.94 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Texans | 56c | 10,536$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Texans | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Broncos | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Broncos | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texans | 37c | 9,732$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.83 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 54c | 9,240$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.45 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Broncos | 64c | 9,223$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Texans | 57c | 9,160$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.83 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texans | 54c | 8,700$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.98 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Broncos | 45c | 8,301$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Broncos | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Broncos | 59c | 7,946$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.48 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Texans | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Broncos | 46c | 7,387$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.18 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Texans | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Broncos | 47c | 6,640$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.05 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Broncos | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Broncos | 58c | 6,180$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.83 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Texans | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Texans | 58c | 6,000$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…324fbacked Texans | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…150dbacked Broncos | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Texans | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Texans | 54c | 5,267$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.8 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…2354backed Broncos | 57c | 5,180$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texans | 53c | 5,125$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.3 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Texans | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Broncos | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Texans | 40c | 4,875$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.8 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Texans | 51c | 4,640$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.41 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Texans | 34c | 4,605$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.86 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Texans | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Broncos | 46c | 4,500$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Broncos | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Broncos | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Texans | 56c | 4,327$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Broncos | 56c | 4,288$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.86 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texans | 50c | 4,208$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.42 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Broncos | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb240…1fe1backed Texans | 3c | 3,862$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Broncos | 75c | 3,856$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Broncos | 55c | 3,703$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.9 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texans | 55c | 3,638$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.96 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Texans | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Broncos | 47c | 3,074$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.06 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Texans | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Broncos | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Broncos | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Texans | 51c | 2,977$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.94 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Texans | 55c | 2,909$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Broncos | 45c | 2,769$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.92 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texans | 52c | 2,727$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.18 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texans | 53c | 2,563$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.47 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texans | 54c | 2,505$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.69 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Texans | 42c | 2,489$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texans | 43c | 2,473$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.63 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f6…5760backed Texans | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Broncos | 46c | 2,181$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.37 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Broncos vs. Texansthis page
- Broncos Team Total: O/U 18.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Texans: O/U 38.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Texans: O/U 39.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Texans: O/U 40.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-1.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.