TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Spurs, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,695,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,693,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,695,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b8c…1556backed Spurs50c200,000$99,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,958.495646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Suns32c194,156$62,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,025.82,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Suns64c100,456$63,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,610.7419249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Spurs70c78,678$55,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,076.9436148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Suns34c61,007$20,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,264.821,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Suns51c59,273$30,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,101.8514856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Spurs68c51,553$34,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,806.345433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Spurs66c50,000$33,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,0003748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Suns33c50,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,499.937149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb58e…d570backed Spurs68c47,217$32,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,107.291266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c2…a112backed Spurs23c42,630$9,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,812.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs52c41,223$21,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,255.2285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs67c40,320$27,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,111.3351350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Suns57c39,403$22,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,965.8347448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Suns33c39,041$12,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,217.1371052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e70…66edbacked Spurs2c38,489$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs0c35,711$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.711,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Suns77c33,265$25,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,653.0334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Spurs56c32,747$18,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,367.8116942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed Spurs66c30,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,799.989650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x13c9…c1efbacked Suns33c25,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,750812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Suns29c24,903$7,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,645.6113455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Spurs7c22,377$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.562050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Spurs68c20,000$13,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,556.5120253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Spurs4c18,736$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.242845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Spurs33c18,575$6,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,216.4336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x531c…eb0dbacked Spurs4c17,675$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.857843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Spurs18c15,821$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.5147144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Spurs68c14,706$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Spurs14c14,686$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.711,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns31c14,325$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,832.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked Spurs68c13,000$8,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,84010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Suns31c12,756$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,836.932,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Spurs3c12,308$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.875250%26 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs30c12,250$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.8681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Suns34c10,930$3,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,244.2569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Suns31c10,645$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,335.3612160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Suns34c10,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,600.28939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Spurs18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb644…d6e1backed Spurs10c9,345$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9303324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Suns32c9,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,12059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns62c8,961$5,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Spurs68c8,888$6,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,043.847748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Suns71c8,585$6,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.654645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs50c8,252$4,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,115.82,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns30c8,172$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,732.2474748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs18c7,732$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.2456348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs49c7,544$3,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,696.141,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked Spurs67c7,500$5,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,024.93844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Suns78c7,101$5,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.337450%37 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Spurs68c6,191$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2106155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Suns33c6,121$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.217142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns33c5,086$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.271,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Suns32c4,915$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.3515443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Spurs2c4,607$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.132524%6 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60de…1e1bbacked Suns72c4,596$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ce…d08fbacked Spurs35c4,548$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Spurs68c4,500$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,07825143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Spurs23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Suns29c4,299$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.5317250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Spurs26c4,231$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0812035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Spurs2c4,165$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.92165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Spurs48c4,150$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.4912334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Spurs21c4,049$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.5326038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Spurs68c4,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns33c3,843$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.962,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89d7…126cbacked Suns60c3,840$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Suns33c3,689$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.6392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Suns48c3,524$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.7238151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Spurs38c3,500$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs6c3,232$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3825925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Suns32c3,214$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.5130053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1252…dec2backed Spurs60c3,159$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.424052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Spurs52c3,066$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6058251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Spurs67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Suns33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Suns46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9843051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Spurs68c2,941$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004035%14 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs28c2,900$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.9978445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…6638backed Spurs3c2,750$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Spurs55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Spurs16c2,505$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.0529037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Spurs1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Spurs6c2,395$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5727917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Suns57c2,357$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.8485344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Suns28c2,226$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.7524330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe530…4802backed Spurs68c2,200$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4961546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x737e…8e9bbacked Spurs42c2,200$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9193946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9015…de85backed Spurs37c2,172$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8093834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Suns48c2,169$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.029857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa746…d20dbacked Suns67c2,155$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.72850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Spurs66c2,122$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.637739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Spurs69c2,000$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.0331347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Spurs25c2,000$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.0120034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Spurs67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3402725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs6c2,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Spurs46c1,859$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.9253134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2d…3749backed Spurs68c1,804$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.871457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2669…ac68backed Suns56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.711442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.