TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Chargers vs. Titans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chargersof Chargers, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,278,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,306,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,278,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Titans19c629,922$119,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,685.2717041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Titans18c165,335$29,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,701.7733553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Titans18c125,192$22,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,422.637035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Titans18c110,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,8005550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Titans18c103,271$18,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,588.2222950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Titans18c55,999$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,079.823633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Titans17c51,000$8,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,67024456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Titans18c50,731$9,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,124.224652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Titans17c40,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.9814342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Titans18c37,333$6,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,576.6922450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Titans16c34,373$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.6261148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Titans18c30,711$5,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,635.131240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Titans17c30,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Titans18c30,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4001060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Titans6c23,860$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.871618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Titans17c20,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40030743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Titans22c18,790$4,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050.6320026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Titans18c18,333$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30011649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Titans16c14,000$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2903979.5%31 W · 8 L+7.2wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Titans23c13,817$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.438532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Titans18c12,991$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.419944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Titans17c11,828$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.1314951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Titans18c10,189$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83486547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Titans16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Titans17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Titans18c8,888$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.8439754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chargers77c7,482$5,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.227348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Titans18c6,383$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1493056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Chargers72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68027644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Titans19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005527.3%15 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x596e…7b82backed Titans18c4,744$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8541040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chargers76c4,130$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.2631543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chargers76c3,728$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.8623850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Chargers71c3,521$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.134040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Titans18c3,456$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.0811750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Chargers80c3,422$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.459359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Titans32c3,156$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Titans65c3,094$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Titans19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57014945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chargers68c2,664$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.2931056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…92ccbacked Titans20c2,273$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4484341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc955…c3abbacked Titans19c2,250$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Titans18c2,250$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.5514443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Titans16c2,179$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.631,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Chargers77c2,169$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.9416254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ee…65bebacked Titans19c2,150$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Titans19c2,140$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.61435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Titans19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3808946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7c…f4febacked Titans19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Titans19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chargers80c1,965$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39323244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Titans4c1,921$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.811969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Titans19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005844.8%26 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Chargers68c1,566$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.326240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Titans17c1,521$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8431854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Titans1c1,333$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.334311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Titans32c1,291$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.6512039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Titans18c1,214$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4827633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Titans17c1,186$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.371,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Titans33c1,141$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.533450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6b…fba5backed Titans22c1,007$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Titans18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0520646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Titans2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20424.8%2 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-65.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Titans18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Titans18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Titans18c999.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18039242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Chargers75c929.61$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.046960.9%42 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Titans21c900$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c72…9b30backed Titans23c871.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chargers72c829.11$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3522…105ebacked Titans19c745$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-61.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Chargers71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.233056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Titans32c670.54$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.286850%34 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Titans18c660$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.820555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02d4…19afbacked Chargers78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.031361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Titans18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Titans18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005223.1%12 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6386…9367backed Titans18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aef…06f8backed Titans18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Titans18c550$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910537.1%39 W · 66 L-12.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Titans17c549$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.684656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbf4…8723backed Titans4c535.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7b…63dabacked Chargers79c530$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.42347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Titans19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1d…e3c3backed Titans19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Titans18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Titans18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf41…59c1backed Titans17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Chargers72c450$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1267131%22 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4e…e5b7backed Chargers80c446.49$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Chargers77c438.89$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.893240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f0…0b92backed Titans18c433.89$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Titans22c417.92$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3556852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Titans18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Titans18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7231540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Titans27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Titans18c356.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4483447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Titans18c352$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.366048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Titans29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe95b…d4d5backed Titans18c335$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.32516%4 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.