TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Chargers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Titansof Chargers, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Titans49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,40013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Titans49c32,000$15,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,319.9917647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Chargers51c31,200$15,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,911.839944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Chargers51c23,104$11,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,712.420755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Chargers51c14,443$7,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,365.8586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Titans47c13,085$6,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,880.9325956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Titans49c12,238$5,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,241.3844652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Titans47c11,906$5,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,277.5417348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Chargers53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Chargers53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers52c10,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,15083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Chargers51c8,755$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,478.5733553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chargers51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Titans50c4,520$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2605764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Titans47c3,731$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.9861148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Chargers53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5901450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Titans48c2,448$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.0383447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Chargers51c2,434$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.3131350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Chargers53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0605352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Titans50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Titans48c1,969$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.081,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Chargers52c1,911$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.7222450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Chargers53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Chargers50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Titans52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Chargers53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53021454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Chargers51c1,000$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51223647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Titans48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52039242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6f…654abacked Chargers51c850$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…870bbacked Titans49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Chargers52c785.02$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.867150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Chargers49c781.57$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.4241248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f7…6874backed Titans49c765$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8b…bdb5backed Chargers51c715$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Chargers48c527.08$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25314154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e3…cda8backed Titans49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.23948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Chargers52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26023447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Chargers53c500$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7215851.9%82 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Chargers53c424.53$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2617…65dbbacked Chargers52c407.27$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542d…63cdbacked Titans50c402.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161c…3b03backed Chargers51c402.11$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.085756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Chargers52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014344.1%63 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Chargers52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Titans49c346.94$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.944355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Titans50c340$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Titans48c327.44$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Chargers51c323.53$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Chargers51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15227835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Chargers52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15620650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Titans49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15310537.1%39 W · 66 L-12.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Titans48c295$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9341450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…ad57backed Titans49c280$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.82661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+42.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Chargers53c267.92$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14219361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Chargers48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…ed90backed Chargers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Titans49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8752…abe4backed Titans51c197.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Chargers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x704c…de8abacked Chargers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17bd…7afcbacked Chargers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Chargers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Chargers28c172.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486647%31 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Chargers51c160.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Chargers51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.66844.1%30 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Chargers52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7819436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1321…2286backed Chargers51c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Chargers52c134.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Chargers52c122.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.492334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Titans49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1422950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Titans48c117.77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2424456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Chargers52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.220632%66 W · 140 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Chargers53c109.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed Chargers53c104.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7173…7d75backed Chargers53c103.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.92941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Chargers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Chargers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517745.5%35 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff5d…723dbacked Chargers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad5c…ac13backed Chargers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516036.7%22 W · 38 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Chargers11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118427.7%51 W · 133 L-18.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Chargers51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc286…d936backed Chargers52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Titans50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4064747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7756…6dbebacked Chargers57c78.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Chargers52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012245.9%56 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Titans51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7548847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Chargers48c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.441947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Titans48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2629751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019c…643ebacked Chargers53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.55554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Chargers53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254250%21 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Chargers53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e4…92bbbacked Titans49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5631…9e3bbacked Chargers51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2f…966ebacked Chargers51c33.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Chargers53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae25…bc16backed Chargers52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.