TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c72…9b30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Nets (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$195.74
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.66
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$305
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$823.89
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$208
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+207%+$358.93
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+240.3%+$254.2
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$332.71
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$290
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$740.99
Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$176.8
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$73.6
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+83.7%+$226.64
49ers vs. Giantsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Chargers vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.99
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+527.7%+$97.94
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+61.1%+$107.58
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$224
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+85.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$119.48
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$207.99
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$656
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.6%+$37.83
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$149.36
All 6 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-62.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+153.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$187.97
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+218.7%+$319.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$135
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 2)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+56.2%+$319.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.2%+$526.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$77.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$55.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.