Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed42624cfd6a33586c1feaafe1bc9f81cc2e27aaf9d6bbf5180f9e02ec07b773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 18c | 9,933$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.18 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 23c | 5,158$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.71 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 17c | 5,029$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.12 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 38c | 4,828$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 45c | 3,873$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…08e9backed Yes | 10c | 3,826$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked Yes | 14c | 3,713$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 22c | 3,469$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 35c | 3,280$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.92 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 76c | 3,132$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.85 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 16c | 2,831$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 28c | 2,665$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.53 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 21c | 2,636$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.21 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…3295backed Yes | 13c | 2,580$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed No | 79c | 2,449$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 14c | 2,328$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Yes | 28c | 2,238$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 12c | 2,180$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 1,694$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.54 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 9c | 1,600$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 19c | 1,567$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 57c | 1,548$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 24c | 1,389$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.98 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes | 12c | 1,300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 29c | 1,271$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.77 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…829ebacked No | 46c | 1,264$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,214$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 38c | 1,213$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.08 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…9262backed Yes | 44c | 1,128$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Yes | 7c | 1,114$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 20c | 1,082$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.33 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…ce50backed No | 75c | 999.18$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…b7e5backed No | 51c | 980.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 78c | 978.16$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 23c | 899.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 75c | 868.99$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 41c | 819.25$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 19c | 805.47$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked No | 75c | 791.55$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 18c | 781.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 38c | 736.97$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.76 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…d3c9backed Yes | 7c | 695$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 17c | 666.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…1268backed Yes | 31c | 651.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 622.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes | 25c | 595.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 12c | 589.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed No | 63c | 567.96$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed Yes | 37c | 564.73$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 26c | 548.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…4e2fbacked Yes | 23c | 546.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…5c8abacked No | 56c | 532.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…ec83backed Yes | 22c | 532.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 40c | 529.54$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 37cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…c5cfbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…ba0bbacked Yes | 14c | 506.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed Yes | 18c | 506$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 17c | 500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…4947backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…a1a1backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 26c | 473.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…f003backed Yes | 27c | 473.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 11c | 471.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 25c | 459.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 76c | 458.28$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 26c | 453.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed No | 43c | 452.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.01 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 449.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 7c | 448$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 23c | 445.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 71c | 433.3$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 33c | 433.18$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd29…1332backed Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 21c | 400.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 25c | 399.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 6c | 399.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 26c | 395.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 15c | 390.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…0522backed No | 78c | 385.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 78c | 382.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 52c | 369.52$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 7c | 364.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…cbf6backed Yes | 70c | 362.17$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 25c | 345.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43db…9871backed Yes | 30c | 340$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed No | 49c | 330$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 326.27$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 71c | 315.3$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 73c | 314$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.