CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81424751feb2a5e0f4515df5ef1804883df79b64878a67ef0f3ecdec74f8e84b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 56c | 2,745$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.31 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 67c | 2,456$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.58 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 35c | 1,108$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.94 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 30c | 709.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Over | 4c | 684.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Under | 70c | 515$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Over | 54c | 358.31$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 31c | 317.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Under | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 53c | 259.54$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…9b30backed Under | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…d2d8backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 45c | 131.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…500fbacked Over | 51c | 86.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…cff9backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…5a39backed Over | 45c | 66.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Under | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Over | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…3ea4backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…ddf4backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 53c | 31.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…4e62backed Over | 44c | 30.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…19c2backed Over | 46c | 30.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)FaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.