College Football · resolved market
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6549439e8a1aa109b8f42d0109d0599c9e08b6d3210d4347077b673139d8ae73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 53c | 27,499$14,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,994.66 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 56c | 19,997$11,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,845 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 44c | 17,397$7,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,658.71 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 47c | 15,059$7,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,028.54 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 12,395$6,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,825.69 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Over | 46c | 11,375$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 46c | 10,849$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.45 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 10,670$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.87 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 8,752$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.14 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 56c | 5,011$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.52 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 2,204$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 2,173$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.48 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 55c | 2,025$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.45 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 52c | 1,742$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.16 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,474$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.12 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…9b30backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 56c | 535$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Under | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 47c | 376.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.07 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 50c | 361.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 263$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…31eabacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Under | 56c | 192.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…0edfbacked Over | 47c | 101.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…71f8backed Over | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 60.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 47c | 34.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…b91ebacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Over | 46c | 26.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…307abacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Under | 56c | 19.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…4e72backed Under | 56c | 17.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5this page
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Ohio State vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Ohio State vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineOhio State won
- Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-3.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.