College Football · resolved market
Ohio State vs. Indiana: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b2f8fd245234a6b75da242699830ff44aa5aedd073cdb92b5fd007df5a4efa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Indiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ohio State | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Indiana | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…b1b0backed Indiana | 43c | 191$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…8d5ebacked Indiana | 42c | 189$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…f230backed Ohio State | 58c | 183$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…08d1backed Indiana | 42c | 182$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…3234backed Ohio State | 58c | 178$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…d7f3backed Indiana | 43c | 178$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…1dc2backed Ohio State | 58c | 177$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…ff96backed Ohio State | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…3450backed Indiana | 43c | 168$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…5cfdbacked Indiana | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…ea6fbacked Ohio State | 57c | 159$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…50c3backed Ohio State | 57c | 153$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Ohio State | 61c | 32.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Indiana | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Indiana | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio State vs. Indiana: 1H Moneylinethis page
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Ohio State vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5Under won
- Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-3.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.