TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,182,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,243,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,182,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 777 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Pelicans28c392,991$111,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,102.458022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xccca…3b2bbacked Pelicans28c89,329$25,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,310.442330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mavericks71c74,128$52,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,734.0492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Mavericks54c48,219$25,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,987.2547448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Pelicans35c47,165$16,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,824.1819249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mavericks72c47,000$33,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,73059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Mavericks72c45,759$32,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,937.217255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Mavericks73c43,398$31,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,530.5771052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adb…a902backed Pelicans43c37,350$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,350.26944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Mavericks72c35,800$25,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,7762867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Mavericks72c32,340$23,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,226.0211558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks72c31,229$22,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,417.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Mavericks66c31,031$20,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,601.647144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Mavericks71c24,243$17,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,235.141848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Pelicans28c22,000$6,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,744.828939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Mavericks71c21,056$14,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,949.7752460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Mavericks71c19,503$13,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,846.811741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks59c18,284$10,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,841.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Mavericks71c17,600$12,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,495.962240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pelicans29c15,000$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,65038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x479d…0a79backed Pelicans15c15,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,7501100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Mavericks72c14,199$10,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,171.4512160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks53c12,934$6,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,811.343,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks72c12,633$9,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,127.9569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Mavericks1c12,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12529810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Mavericks73c11,085$8,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,092.0525845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Mavericks72c10,455$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,560.162351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Pelicans3c10,450$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,136.54037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.19per pick19cpaid+241.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans39c10,192$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,217.380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a21…d307backed Pelicans65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pelicans27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,30034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Mavericks59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mavericks72c8,763$6,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,309.6444459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans27c8,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,839.9935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks54c7,300$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.3885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Mavericks72c6,662$4,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,818.4761851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pelicans50c6,595$3,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,326.1626038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1fa…ae2ebacked Mavericks73c6,500$4,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,745785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans39c6,010$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,668.5981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks30c5,776$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.061,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Mavericks71c5,722$4,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,054.9647751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Mavericks73c5,700$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,135.827739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2669…ac68backed Pelicans46c5,248$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.361442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Mavericks60c5,123$3,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.7318345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Pelicans80c4,948$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.514156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Mavericks72c4,680$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,369.63246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks55c4,553$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.71,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe0…fa45backed Mavericks74c4,500$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Pelicans29c4,304$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.717441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks61c4,300$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.9359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcad7…ebebbacked Pelicans26c4,229$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,129.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks63c4,014$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.131,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb6…3804backed Pelicans29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+60%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Mavericks30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans38c3,612$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.1185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks39c3,467$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.327041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Mavericks73c3,435$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.236148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks72c3,280$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.682,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Pelicans79c3,186$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.683234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Mavericks72c3,150$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2682951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6865…b323backed Pelicans29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+60%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pelicans27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,19047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Pelicans67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99029458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Mavericks35c2,912$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.8311242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0845…e9ebbacked Pelicans29c2,800$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+86.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans43c2,696$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.723,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddb…e168backed Mavericks72c2,600$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b67…de0cbacked Pelicans29c2,600$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Mavericks72c2,564$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.3216532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Pelicans27c2,500$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.6318047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df4…8ca6backed Pelicans29c2,500$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+49%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…7713backed Mavericks71c2,500$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b6d6backed Pelicans29c2,500$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4e…22f9backed Mavericks72c2,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Pelicans27c2,500$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82024330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks47c2,436$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.391,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8414…8689backed Mavericks72c2,400$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff93…cbdbbacked Pelicans29c2,400$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Mavericks1c2,316$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Mavericks73c2,290$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67219047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks49c2,210$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.572,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b8…be4cbacked Mavericks72c2,208$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.461376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks72c2,185$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.1995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x830b…acc2backed Pelicans29c2,100$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+60%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d7c…832dbacked Mavericks71c2,100$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pelicans67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d5…1210backed Mavericks71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Mavericks60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc7…0456backed Mavericks71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Pelicans67c1,970$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.120253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Pelicans36c1,894$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.4428448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e78…4d28backed Pelicans31c1,806$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.452343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+74.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Mavericks22c1,805$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.839018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans27c1,700$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc2d…825abacked Mavericks73c1,640$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.52366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc491…61f7backed Mavericks71c1,600$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0e…995cbacked Mavericks71c1,600$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe01a…d527backed Pelicans28c1,561$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.211060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee6e…b859backed Mavericks72c1,558$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.761020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-55.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Mavericks74c1,535$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.725947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.