TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$429,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$461,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No28c125,000$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,999.8527039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes73c62,751$45,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,962.9430031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes72c39,569$28,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,490.036137.7%23 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No27c25,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,249.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes73c24,825$18,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,168.74250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No27c22,101$5,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,179.067630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No25c14,076$3,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,502.0116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No34c14,050$4,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,294.157354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No24c13,302$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,130.9116835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes64c11,577$7,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,375.651,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No27c10,452$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,629.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes74c10,084$7,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,431.291040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c07…7d26backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.945024%12 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+124.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c8,516$5,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,373.6476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Yes72c8,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,759.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b1…5163backed Yes72c7,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.991060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1280…6b24backed Yes73c6,887$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes76c5,999$4,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,559.3624732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes70c5,805$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,087.66366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No36c5,180$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.1435942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No32c4,995$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.7531945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes74c4,700$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes72c4,300$3,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1097061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes72c4,122$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.85042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes73c4,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9201650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed Yes73c3,455$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No27c3,350$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.53935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes18c3,032$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.297740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes66c3,004$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.6617727.7%49 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.971250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c2,635$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes59c2,286$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.2834630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes68c2,248$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5233271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0b6…3eacbacked No28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8048…f48dbacked Yes73c1,787$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.25862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No52c1,676$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.411,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes73c1,667$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.1517345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes67c1,655$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.1513461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No24c1,567$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.921127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes74c1,500$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes60c1,476$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.0229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes72c1,390$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.68940.4%36 W · 53 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Yes73c1,382$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-86.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c1,297$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.97446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69aa…4d70backed Yes80c1,256$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No41c1,250$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.6928754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes42c1,245$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.213,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes40c1,234$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.2728731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes73c1,214$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.511145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed Yes73c1,150$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.4640%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes73c1,100$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7658…fc19backed Yes73c1,096$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No27c1,071$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.8512525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes73c1,071$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes74c1,014$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes75c1,002$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73022421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79021016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80023622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes73c999.99$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes75c924$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6932842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No24c910.11$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.5914040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes66c907.15$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002965.5%19 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No28c892.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.867135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes49c886.58$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb6…4cb0backed Yes68c825.62$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae87…e848backed Yes68c810.56$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes75c795.57$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2149…3a74backed Yes20c755.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.94544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes66c732.12$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No25c687.16$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-67.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes73c684.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7411660.3%70 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No27c667$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.9111444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…13d4backed Yes75c666.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes73c655.4$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.443432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes70c638.57$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4471741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes76c636.84$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Yes27c633$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.762055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes73c547.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Yes37c540$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes76c528.91$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes73c520.32$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.834346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe71…bd57backed Yes76c510.08$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Yes80c506.66$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes75c491.43$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.571020%2 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-65.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd2d…4c39backed Yes73c476.71$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No38c464.94$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.269324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes79c462.03$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3653652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa71…1bcbbacked Yes72c460$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes78c455.62$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.388960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes68c443.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked No20c433$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.