Fifa International · resolved market
Will Malta win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04c70e404dcd03ef44501597e59b4ddc260dcaccdf202665c7a22ee71fa20c97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 8c | 3,129$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.53 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 8c | 3,004$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.77 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…f486backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.93 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 2,360$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,080$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.83 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 2,009$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.04 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 8c | 2,008$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.25 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 1,835$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.02 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 1,705$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.8 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Yes | 65c | 1,608$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 9c | 1,400$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.39 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 5c | 905.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 14c | 703.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c915backed Yes | 9c | 686.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +983.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 662.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.68 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked No | 32c | 660.1$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 16c | 600$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 67c | 491.75$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 68c | 444.97$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 24c | 388.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 77c | 325$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 66c | 311.83$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Yes | 9c | 252.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,049.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +919.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…f359backed No | 17c | 231$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 75c | 185$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 177$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 38c | 160.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…4912backed Yes | 8c | 155$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…252ebacked Yes | 65c | 152.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…f1a9backed Yes | 77c | 130.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 77c | 130.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 68c | 127.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 74c | 106.96$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…9767backed Yes | 77c | 97.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 42c | 70.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 65c | 60.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed No | 33c | 39.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 74c | 22.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Yes | 77c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malta win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Finland vs. Malta end in a draw?No won
- Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.