Fifa International · resolved market
Will Finland vs. Malta end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5b7bef183697bcd0687fde498682be1a732fd2a370af3a47cbe4707ce243eea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 3,125$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.19 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 3,124$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.33 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 30c | 2,940$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 23c | 2,426$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.24 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 71c | 2,424$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.84 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,750$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.45 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 1,728$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.17 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 21c | 1,446$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.6 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 30c | 1,300$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,250$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 1,209$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.42 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…56c1backed Yes | 19c | 1,050$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 76c | 919.36$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.49 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Yes | 19c | 802.42$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 741.45$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…615cbacked Yes | 20c | 625$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 56c | 558.18$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.21 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 23c | 488.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 19c | 383.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 20c | 328.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 24c | 234.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 20c | 230$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 17c | 162.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 68c | 148.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked No | 73c | 135.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…797abacked Yes | 57c | 134.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…f1a9backed Yes | 51c | 131.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 38c | 128.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 29c | 121.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…be8cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…f486backed Yes | 14c | 83.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 52c | 77.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…e378backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 71.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 20c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 52c | 66.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 69c | 66.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 33c | 60.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Yes | 57c | 53.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 70c | 49.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 43c | 41.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…d5c0backed No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland vs. Malta end in a draw?this page
- Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?No won
- Will Malta win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.