NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382898a20b8685c42fea7f75e53ba8c1347ad81aa7dd27cb161b7b62a2fb5a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Warriors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,824,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,858,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,824,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 750 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Warriors | 44c | 518,728$228,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,240.35 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Kings | 56c | 500,000$280,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,000 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…3b2bbacked Warriors | 44c | 102,350$45,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,260.45 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 45c | 80,000$36,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,858.35 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Kings | 57c | 55,664$31,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,912.95 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Warriors | 28c | 54,380$15,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,068.45 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Warriors | 46c | 52,892$24,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,319.15 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Warriors | 32c | 44,328$14,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,153.66 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Warriors | 46c | 42,669$19,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,790.83 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 56c | 39,916$22,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,545.95 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Kings | 69c | 29,047$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,047.25 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 56c | 28,647$15,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,691.29 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Kings | 41c | 26,651$10,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,772.02 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…beebbacked Warriors | 63c | 24,092$15,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,163.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 55c | 24,031$13,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750.97 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 44c | 18,756$8,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,319.35 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Kings | 56c | 18,098$10,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,963.12 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Warriors | 62c | 17,421$10,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,879.02 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 35c | 16,808$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.98 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Warriors | 44c | 14,000$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,129.97 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…64debacked Warriors | 0c | 13,084$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 55c | 12,179$6,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 27c | 11,796$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors | 3c | 11,079$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.58 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Kings | 56c | 10,837$6,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.27 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe887…05cabacked Warriors | 71c | 10,347$7,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Kings | 71c | 10,265$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.41 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Warriors | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Warriors | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…d307backed Warriors | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 9,702$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 42c | 9,529$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.3 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 40c | 9,039$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.15 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…4029backed Kings | 56c | 8,904$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…f95fbacked Warriors | 43c | 8,902$3,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c3…89aebacked Warriors | 43c | 8,730$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…7b21backed Kings | 57c | 8,723$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Kings | 41c | 8,482$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.05 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kings | 54c | 7,678$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.51 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 57c | 7,309$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.91 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Kings | 56c | 6,643$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.97 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 44c | 6,619$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.91 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Kings | 53c | 6,548$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.37 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 51c | 6,428$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.58 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Kings | 46c | 6,000$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Kings | 57c | 5,664$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.4 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Warriors | 45c | 5,611$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.24 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 45c | 5,337$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.69 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Warriors | 59c | 5,273$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 44c | 5,002$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.11 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Warriors | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.97 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 57c | 4,996$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.41 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Warriors | 68c | 4,874$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kings | 55c | 4,845$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.59 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Kings | 38c | 4,628$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.11 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Warriors | 44c | 4,500$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Warriors | 40c | 4,500$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.88 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Warriors | 43c | 4,458$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.33 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Warriors | 45c | 4,407$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Kings | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Kings | 56c | 4,347$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.65 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Kings | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Warriors | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f422backed Kings | 57c | 3,888$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.84 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Kings | 56c | 3,701$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.02 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe651…8764backed Kings | 38c | 3,690$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 30c | 3,571$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 36c | 3,569$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.58 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Kings | 61c | 3,177$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.28 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 44c | 3,100$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Warriors | 44c | 3,059$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.57 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Warriors | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 44c | 2,977$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.05 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Kings | 62c | 2,894$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.63 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings | 56c | 2,876$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.45 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Kings | 77c | 2,796$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.58 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 44c | 2,584$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.54 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,556$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.32 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Warriors | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 36c | 2,445$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Warriors | 43c | 2,311$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Kings | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Warriors | 35c | 2,284$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Kings | 57c | 2,272$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.93 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Kings | 36c | 2,234$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.53 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 2,194$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Warriors | 46c | 2,183$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed Kings | 38c | 2,128$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 16c | 2,108$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.57 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Warriors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Warriors | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Kings | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Warriors | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Kings | 38c | 1,989$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.65 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kings | 54c | 1,985$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.1 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Warriors | 50c | 1,970$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.8 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Kings | 57c | 1,948$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.81 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Kingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-1.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Kings won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.