TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,889,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,472,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,889,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Falcons50c617,351$308,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308,147.586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Falcons49c566,760$280,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280,266.0817041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bc…af98backed Seahawks51c557,611$284,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273,229.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Seahawks49c519,201$256,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,348.4527454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Falcons50c79,000$39,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,5005855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Seahawks50c69,262$34,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,630.8213843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Seahawks51c21,075$10,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,326.762454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Seahawks51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8007051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Seahawks51c16,985$8,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,322.5947348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Falcons49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9935848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Seahawks50c9,752$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,876.756852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Seahawks50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Seahawks51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.148856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Seahawks51c6,275$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.513351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Seahawks51c6,055$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96720755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Falcons50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b48…050cbacked Seahawks51c5,292$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.522347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Seahawks51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.965650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Seahawks49c4,727$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.7731450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Falcons50c4,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Seahawks50c3,300$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65020851%106 W · 102 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64a2…4a7ebacked Falcons50c3,240$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Seahawks50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50012249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Seahawks50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25019240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Seahawks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Seahawks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Seahawks44c1,797$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.9360049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Falcons58c1,731$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Falcons50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c72…9b30backed Falcons57c1,300$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Seahawks51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4721151.2%108 W · 103 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Falcons63c1,123$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.1164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Falcons49c1,077$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.7353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Falcons49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0414035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Seahawks53c1,000$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.7811154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Seahawks51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49018044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Falcons50c997.76$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.885046%23 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Seahawks51c982.35$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.3511255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Seahawks51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.399536.8%35 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Seahawks51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Seahawks51c929.47$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.444555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Falcons47c803.37$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.5975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Seahawks50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40015944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Seahawks50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40016351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Seahawks50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40028556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb457…b13abacked Seahawks51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.314951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Seahawks43c690$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0868446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Seahawks50c674.14$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.071,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Seahawks51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29418744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Seahawks51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29414151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Seahawks51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2413652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Seahawks55c547.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.182556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Falcons49c494$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5165048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Falcons50c410$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.520354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Seahawks51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1967549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f6…7742backed Seahawks51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964837.5%18 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Seahawks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Seahawks51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1623447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Seahawks51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1617548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Seahawks44c357$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.922744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Seahawks51c331.24$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.316546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Seahawks49c316.18$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.810252.9%54 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Seahawks44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Seahawks51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1213253%70 W · 62 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Seahawks51c292.16$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.165940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dde…b23cbacked Seahawks51c286.27$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Falcons50c284$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1429651%49 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Falcons50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520542%86 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a74…d69ebacked Seahawks51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58242.7%35 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Seahawks51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.16254.8%34 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Seahawks49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.420650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Falcons55c234.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.757044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Falcons49c205$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Seahawks49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0415746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Seahawks51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9827835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Seahawks51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987745.5%35 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a7…a42bbacked Seahawks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006243.5%27 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6252…bcf4backed Seahawks51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed Falcons50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Seahawks51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9813347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Seahawks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Seahawks48c198.01$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5235648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…b4b0backed Seahawks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085869%40 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed Seahawks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Seahawks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Seahawks58c168.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1250242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Falcons51c152.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9473651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d02…bdd2backed Seahawks47c151.19$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd30c…614cbacked Seahawks50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seahawks43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.548847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Falcons50c144$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7224547.8%117 W · 128 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Seahawks50c125$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.56453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Seahawks49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.459348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…9bcbbacked Seahawks49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Seahawks53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2111650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked Falcons50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a8…0cecbacked Seahawks45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Seahawks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Seahawks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf326…52f9backed Seahawks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.