TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x090a…01b4backed Under51c66,618$33,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,975.3816836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over49c49,360$24,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,227.1922450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,599.9831240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3413…2657backed Under51c20,904$10,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,660.931513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over49c20,408$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.0813560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c14,799$7,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,670.871,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c12,500$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,37583147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under51c11,222$5,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,701.1886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c7,241$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.6247348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa7…adbfbacked Under53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1802240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under51c4,500$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29526547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Over48c4,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1843863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c3,127$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.1875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c2,940$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.456852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Over49c2,498$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.895248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c2,293$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.420661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64a2…4a7ebacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over49c2,040$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.410156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c1,937$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.671,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Over48c1,926$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.5211254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.56647%31 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c1,500$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75517251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over48c1,239$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.54250%21 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.575754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51065048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over49c951.29$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1624056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c902$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1631450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3320443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c816$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.1613959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Under52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35718044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35722446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c699.98$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.9923647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Under51c666$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.667732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under51c420.37$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3915555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over50c333.8$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.915855.7%88 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over48c302.08$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0828047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c280$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over48c271.05$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9534652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over51c260.78$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.785042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161c…3b03backed Under51c251.29$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.165756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over49c244$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4420555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb457…b13abacked Over50c244$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c234$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.210948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c206$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6119152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0410752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10424352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed21…a2a1backed Under51c194.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006165.6%40 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Over52c192.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4228337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c182$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8214060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over49c182$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8216957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over49c162$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6212356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over49c162$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6210461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over49c162$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6215556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over49c162$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6216360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over49c149$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7620238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c145.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1550242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over49c143.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2439242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over49c139.39$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0983447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over47c124.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1215446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Over48c120.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.94542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.217656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Under51c119.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5113844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5123447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5673651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5628433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.912057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.911758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.911859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.813357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.815453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.812459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.812458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810757.9%62 W · 45 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89862.2%61 W · 37 L+11.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810861.1%66 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under51c70.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.922722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.611058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.